Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 21:30 •
Neo QuÃmica Arena
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.32)
2.61 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.1% | 14.3% | 72.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.1%
0 - 3
10.5%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Palmeiras | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Corinthians | 0 | 3.6% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Corinthians | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 100% |
| Attack | 38% | 100% |
| Defense | 25% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Corinthians | Palmeiras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 20% | 20% | 100% | 60% | 80% |
| Draws | 20% | 60% | 40% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Loses | 60% | 20% | 40% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
CorinthiansLWWDLDDDLL
PalmeirasDWWWLWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Corinthians | Palmeiras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Corinthians | Palmeiras | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 70% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 30% | 70% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Corinthians | Palmeiras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Corinthians | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Corinthians | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Corinthians | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 33.3% | 66.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.77 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.58 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.82 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Corinthians
vs
Palmeiras
Expected goals
0.73
Corinthians xG
League Avg: 1.32
Total
3.33
2.61
Palmeiras xG
League Avg: 0.83
1x2 probabilities
Home
8.1%
Draw
14.3%
Away
72.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
12.1%
Tip
0 - 3
10.5%
Tip
0 - 1
9.3%
More chances
1.5+
71%
Chance
2.5+
50%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
74%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Corinthians = 0.73 (league 1.32), Palmeiras = 2.61 (league 0.83)
| Palmeiras | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Corinthians | 0 | 3.6% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.1% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 72.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1