Corinthians 3-2 Sao Paulo: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sun, May 10 2026 Β· 21:30
FT
πŸ† Serie A
🌍 Brazil
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
0.90
League avg: 0.70
Both
1.80
League avg: 2.10
Away
0.90
League avg: 1.40
1X2 Probability
Home
22%
ELO-based: 48%
Draw
35%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
43%
ELO-based: 28%
Goal Probability
2.5+
38%
3.5+
27%
BTTS
62%
Best Score Tips
0 - 017%
0 - 115%
1 - 015%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Corinthians vs Sao Paulo

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Corinthians vs Sao Paulo.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Sao Paulo
01234
Corinthians 0 16.5% 14.9% 6.7% 2.0% 0.5%
1 14.9% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4%
2 6.7% 6.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1665+9
League
1601Β±0
Away
1571-19
ELO Verdict
Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Corinthians16651664157315221717+9
Sao Paulo15711565149315171602-19
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Corinthians1614153651013LDDWL
Sao Paulo414247341913WLLWD
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Corinthians 5 33% 13% 81% 0.4 0.6
Sao Paulo 5 47% 50% 56% 1.6 1.4
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Corinthians 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.9
Sao Paulo 1.9 0.9 1.4 0.7 1.1 0.9
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Corinthians 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9
Sao Paulo 1.4 0.9 0.9 1.1
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 10.00% 10.53% 15.38% 7.69%
16-30 30.00% 15.79% 23.08% 7.69%
31-45 10.00% 38.46% 23.08%
46-60 10.00% 26.32% 7.69% 15.38%
61-75 10.00% 31.58% 23.08%
76-90 30.00% 15.79% 15.38% 23.08%
Team Comparison
42%
Form
58%
2%
Attack
8%
7%
Defense
3%
44%
Poisson
56%
29%
H2H
71%
38%
Goals
63%
41%
Total
6%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Corinthians 2-0 0-1 0-2 3-1 2 / 1 2 / 3
Sao Paulo 4-1 1-2 0-1 2-0 4 / 2 2 / 2
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Corinthians 6 3 3 5 3 2
Sao Paulo 4 3 1 3 1 2
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Corinthians 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Sao Paulo 3 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-01-18 Corinthians 1 - 1 FT Sao Paulo
2025-11-20 Corinthians 3 - 1 FT Sao Paulo
2025-07-20 Sao Paulo 2 - 0 FT Corinthians
2025-01-26 Sao Paulo 3 - 1 FT Corinthians
2024-09-29 Sao Paulo 3 - 1 FT Corinthians
2024-06-16 Corinthians 2 - 2 FT Sao Paulo
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.95 Homepage market
Draw 3.20 Homepage market
Away win 4.10 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.53 Homepage market
BTTS market 1.67 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Stats
StatCorinthiansSao Paulo
expected_goals 0.81 0.94
Ball Possession 51% 49%
Total Shots 8 3
Shots on Goal 4 2
Shots off Goal 2 0
Blocked Shots 2 1
Shots insidebox 7 1
Shots outsidebox 1 2
Corner Kicks 4 3
Offsides 0 2
Fouls 3 2
Yellow Cards 2 2
Red Cards β€” β€”
Goalkeeper Saves 1 3
Total passes 171 171
Passes accurate 138 144
Passes % 81% 84%
goals_prevented 0.64 0.64
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+4' Corinthians Z. Labyad Card Yellow Card
90+4' Sao Paulo Luan Silva Card Yellow Card
90+3' Sao Paulo D. Bobadilla subst Out: Andre Silva
89' Sao Paulo Matheuzinho Goal Own Goal
88' Corinthians R. Garro subst Out: Z. Labyad
88' Corinthians Yuri Alberto subst Out: Pedro Raul
83' Sao Paulo E. Diaz subst Out: Wendell
83' Corinthians A. Carrillo subst Out: Dieguinho
73' Sao Paulo E. Diaz Card Yellow Card
69' Sao Paulo Ferreira subst Out: Cauly
69' Sao Paulo Danielzinho subst Out: Luan Silva
57' Corinthians Breno Bidon Goal Assist: R. Garro
52' Corinthians Matheuzinho Goal Assist: A. Carrillo
45+1' Corinthians Gabriel Paulista Card Yellow Card
45+1' Corinthians Matheus Bidu Card Yellow Card
45+1' Sao Paulo Jonathan Calleri Card Yellow Card
45+1' Sao Paulo Sabino Card Yellow Card
41' Sao Paulo Luciano Goal Assist: D. Bobadilla
17' Corinthians Raniele Goal Assist: R. Garro
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Serie A 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Palmeiras Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) 1 16 35 10 5 1 26 13 13 DDDWW
Flamengo Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) 2 14 30 9 3 2 27 12 15 WDWWW
Fluminense Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) 3 16 30 9 3 4 27 21 6 WDLWW
Sao Paulo Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) 4 16 24 7 3 6 22 18 4 LLDWL
Atletico Paranaense Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification) 5 15 23 7 2 6 20 16 4 LDWLW
Bahia Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 6 14 22 6 4 4 20 18 2 LDDLW
Atletico-MG Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 7 16 21 6 3 7 21 22 -1 WDWLL
Internacional Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 8 16 21 5 6 5 20 17 3 WDWDL
RB Bragantino Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 9 15 20 6 2 7 17 18 -1 LWLWL
Coritiba Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 10 15 20 5 5 5 18 19 -1 DLLWD
Vasco DA Gama Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 11 16 20 5 5 6 22 25 -3 LWDLW
Cruzeiro 12 16 20 5 5 6 21 26 -5 DWLWW
Vitoria 13 14 19 5 4 5 18 20 -2 DWLDW
Botafogo 14 14 18 5 3 6 26 27 -1 DLDWD
Santos 15 15 18 4 6 5 21 22 -1 WDDLW
Corinthians 16 15 18 4 6 5 13 15 -2 WLWDD
Gremio Relegation - Serie B 17 15 17 4 5 6 15 17 -2 LDWLD
Mirassol Relegation - Serie B 18 15 13 3 4 8 17 23 -6 LDWLW
Remo Relegation - Serie B 19 15 12 2 6 7 16 25 -9 DWLLD
Chapecoense-sc Relegation - Serie B 20 14 9 1 6 7 14 27 -13 DLLLL