Mirassol 1-1 Chapecoense-sc: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Mirassol 1-1 Chapecoense-sc: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Serie A 🌍 Brazil

Sun, May 10 2026 · 21:30

Mirassol

1 - 1

Chapecoense-sc

🏆 Serie A

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.55

League avg: 1.20

Both

2.45

League avg: 2.20

Away

0.90

League avg: 1.00

1X2 Probability

Home

65%

ELO-based: 41%

Draw

22%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

13%

ELO-based: 35%

Goal Probability

2.5+

53%

3.5+

38%

BTTS

73%

Best Score Tips

1 - 013%

1 - 112%

2 - 010%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Chapecoense-sc
		0	1	2	3	4
Mirassol	0	8.6%	7.8%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%
	1	13.4%	12.0%	5.4%	1.6%	0.4%
	2	10.4%	9.3%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%
	3	5.4%	4.8%	2.2%	0.7%	0.1%
	4	2.1%	1.9%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1566-18

League

1601±0

Away

1543-47

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Mirassol	1566	1549	1565	1574	1580	-18
Chapecoense-sc	1543	1512	1486	1535	1577	-47

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Mirassol	19	13	12	3	3	7	15	19	LLWLW
Chapecoense-sc	20	13	8	1	5	7	13	26	DLLLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Mirassol	5	40%	31%	63%	1.0	1.2
Chapecoense-sc	5	7%	25%	31%	0.8	2.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Mirassol	1.3	1.0	1.2	1.4	1.5	1.5
Chapecoense-sc	1.4	0.4	1.0	2.1	1.8	2.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Mirassol	1.2	1.3	1.5	1.4
Chapecoense-sc	1.0	0.4	2.0	1.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15			14.29%	7.69%
16-30	30.77%	23.08%	19.05%	15.38%
31-45	23.08%	15.38%	14.29%	19.23%
46-60	15.38%		4.76%	30.77%
61-75	7.69%	15.38%	14.29%	7.69%
76-90	23.08%	46.15%	33.33%	19.23%

Team Comparison

86%

Form

14%

56%

Attack

44%

65%

Defense

35%

74%

Poisson

26%

H2H

Goals

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Mirassol	2-1	1-2	1-2	3-2	2 / 2	2 / 3
Chapecoense-sc	4-2		0-4	2-0	4 / 1	4 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Mirassol	0	0	0	5	2	3
Chapecoense-sc	1	1	0	5	2	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Mirassol	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Chapecoense-sc	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2024-11-24	Mirassol	1 - 0 FT	Chapecoense-sc
2024-08-05	Chapecoense-sc	0 - 1 FT	Mirassol
2023-07-29	Chapecoense-sc	0 - 1 FT	Mirassol
2023-04-15	Mirassol	1 - 0 FT	Chapecoense-sc

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.45	Homepage market
Draw	4.33	Homepage market
Away win	7.00	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.95	Homepage market
BTTS market	1.75	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Mirassol	Chapecoense-sc
expected_goals	0.23	0.02
Ball Possession	63%	37%
Total Shots	9	1
Shots on Goal	0	1
Shots off Goal	6	0
Blocked Shots	3	0
Shots insidebox	2	0
Shots outsidebox	7	1
Corner Kicks	3	0
Offsides	1	0
Fouls	4	8
Yellow Cards	0	3
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	1	0
Total passes	275	163
Passes accurate	241	131
Passes %	88%	80%
goals_prevented	0.00	0.00

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+7'	Chapecoense-sc	Joao Paulo	Card	Yellow Card
81'	Chapecoense-sc	Joao Victor	Goal	Own Goal
79'	Chapecoense-sc	Enio	subst	Out: Italo
79'	Chapecoense-sc	Victor Caetano	subst	Out: Jean Carlos
74'	Mirassol	Jose Aldo	Card	Yellow Card
71'	Chapecoense-sc	Y. Bolasie	subst	Out: Giovanni Augusto
71'	Mirassol	Eduardo	Goal	Assist: Willian Machado
70'	Chapecoense-sc	Joao Vitor	subst	Out: Rafael Carvalheira
66'	Mirassol	Shaylon	subst	Out: A. Galeano
66'	Mirassol	Denilson	subst	Out: Eduardo
66'	Chapecoense-sc	Y. Bolasie	Card	Yellow Card
54'	Chapecoense-sc	Marcinho	subst	Out: Mauricio Garcez
46'	Mirassol	Carlos Eduardo	subst	Out: Nathan Fogaca
39'	Mirassol	Igor Formiga	subst	Out: Daniel Borges
32'	Chapecoense-sc	Victor Caetano	Card	Yellow Card
32'	Chapecoense-sc	Everton	Card	Yellow Card
18'	Chapecoense-sc	Bruno Pacheco	Card	Yellow Card
13'	Mirassol	Andre Luis	subst	Out: Everton Galdino

League Standings

Local standings cache · Serie A 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Palmeiras Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	1	16	35	10	5	1	26	13	13	DDDWW
Flamengo Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	2	15	31	9	4	2	28	13	15	DWDWW
Fluminense Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	3	16	30	9	3	4	27	21	6	WDLWW
Sao Paulo Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	4	16	24	7	3	6	22	18	4	LLDWL
Atletico Paranaense Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)	5	16	24	7	3	6	21	17	4	DLDWL
RB Bragantino Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	6	16	23	7	2	7	19	18	1	WLWLW
Coritiba Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	7	16	23	6	5	5	21	19	2	WDLLW
Bahia Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	8	15	23	6	5	4	21	19	2	DLDDL
Botafogo Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	9	15	21	6	3	6	29	28	1	WDLDW
Atletico-MG Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	10	16	21	6	3	7	21	22	-1	WDWLL
Internacional Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	11	16	21	5	6	5	20	17	3	WDWDL
Vasco DA Gama	12	16	20	5	5	6	22	25	-3	LWDLW
Cruzeiro	13	16	20	5	5	6	21	26	-5	DWLWW
Vitoria	14	15	19	5	4	6	18	22	-4	LDWLD
Gremio	15	16	18	4	6	6	16	18	-2	DLDWL
Santos	16	16	18	4	6	6	21	25	-4	LWDDL
Corinthians Relegation - Serie B	17	16	18	4	6	6	14	18	-4	LWLWD
Remo Relegation - Serie B	18	16	15	3	6	7	19	27	-8	WDWLL
Mirassol Relegation - Serie B	19	15	13	3	4	8	17	23	-6	LDWLW
Chapecoense-sc Relegation - Serie B	20	15	9	1	6	8	16	30	-14	LDLLL