F

Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, Odds & Stats | Serie A

NS

🏆 Serie A 🌍 Brazil

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 19:00

NS

Bahia

NS

Vasco DA Gama

🏆 Serie A

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.66

League avg: 1.40

Both

2.77

League avg: 2.60

Away

1.11

League avg: 1.20

1X2 Probability

Home

47%

ELO-based: 45%

Draw

26%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

27%

ELO-based: 31%

Goal Probability

2.5+

51%

3.5+

30%

BTTS

56%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

1 - 010%

2 - 110%

FT Score Probability Grid

		Vasco DA Gama
		0	1	2	3	4
Bahia	0	6.3%	6.9%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%
	1	10.4%	11.5%	6.4%	2.4%	0.6%
	2	8.7%	9.6%	5.3%	2.0%	0.5%
	3	4.8%	5.3%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%
	4	2.0%	2.2%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1622+21

League

1613±0

Away

1559-44

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Bahia	1622	1620	1608	1645	1574	+21
Vasco DA Gama	1559	1547	1497	1555	1563	-44

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Bahia	5	21	32	8	8	5	29	25	WWDDD
Vasco DA Gama	19	20	21	5	6	9	23	31	LLLLD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Bahia	5	60%	75%	63%	1.2	0.6
Vasco DA Gama	5	7%	25%	0%	0.4	2.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Bahia	1.5	1.2	1.4	1.0	1.4	1.2
Vasco DA Gama	1.2	1.1	1.2	1.3	1.9	1.6

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Bahia	1.4	1.5	1.2	1.0
Vasco DA Gama	1.2	1.1	1.6	1.9

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	10.34%	4.00%	12.00%	13.79%
16-30	13.79%	8.00%	20.00%	17.24%
31-45	27.59%	16.00%	24.00%	17.24%
46-60	6.90%	20.00%	16.00%	13.79%
61-75	10.34%	16.00%	16.00%	20.69%
76-90	31.03%	36.00%	12.00%	17.24%

Team Comparison

9%

Form

1%

75%

Attack

25%

77%

Defense

23%

66%

Poisson

34%

6%

H2H

4%

5%

Goals

5%

7%

Total

3%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Bahia	3-0	1-2	1-2	4-1	3 / 2	2 / 4
Vasco DA Gama	3-2		0-3	4-1	3 / 3	3 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Bahia	6	3	3	2	0	2
Vasco DA Gama	1	1	0	5	3	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Bahia	4	66.67%	2	33.33%	—	—
Vasco DA Gama	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-02-12	Vasco DA Gama	0 - 1 FT	Bahia
2025-11-23	Bahia	1 - 0 FT	Vasco DA Gama
2025-09-24	Vasco DA Gama	3 - 1 FT	Bahia
2024-10-29	Vasco DA Gama	3 - 2 FT	Bahia
2024-06-27	Bahia	2 - 1 FT	Vasco DA Gama
2023-09-03	Bahia	1 - 1 FT	Vasco DA Gama

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.00	Bet365
Draw	3.75	Betano
Away win	4.00	Betano
Over 2.5	1.92	Pinnacle
Under 2.5	1.98	Betano
BTTS Yes	1.74	Superbet
BTTS No	2.10	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.