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Botafogo 1-1 Fluminense: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sun, Aug 9 2026 Β· 00:00
FT
πŸ† Serie A
🌍 Brazil
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.65
League avg: 1.70
Both
2.96
League avg: 3.10
Away
1.31
League avg: 1.40
1X2 Probability
Home
38%
ELO-based: 33%
Draw
26%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
36%
ELO-based: 43%
Goal Probability
2.5+
54%
3.5+
32%
BTTS
57%
Best Score Tips
1 - 111%
2 - 19%
1 - 09%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Botafogo vs Fluminense

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Botafogo vs Fluminense.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Fluminense
01234
Botafogo 0 5.2% 6.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6%
1 8.6% 11.2% 7.3% 3.2% 1.0%
2 7.1% 9.3% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9%
3 3.9% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
ELO Overview
Home
1615+9
League
1612Β±0
Away
1659+5
ELO Verdict
Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Botafogo16151620156915991589+9
Fluminense16591656152016091692+5
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Botafogo1020298573432DLWDW
Fluminense421349753025LDDDD
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Botafogo 5 53% 45% 64% 1.0 0.8
Fluminense 5 27% 27% 64% 0.6 0.8
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Botafogo 1.9 1.5 1.7 1.4 1.7 1.6
Fluminense 1.6 1.2 1.4 1.0 1.4 1.2
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Botafogo 1.7 1.9 1.6 1.4
Fluminense 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.4
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 20.00% 6.67% 19.35% 20.00%
16-30 5.71% 20.00% 9.68% 4.00%
31-45 17.14% 20.00% 12.90% 8.00%
46-60 14.29% 20.00% 29.03% 16.00%
61-75 14.29% 6.67% 9.68% 24.00%
76-90 28.57% 26.67% 19.35% 28.00%
Team Comparison
67%
Form
33%
63%
Attack
38%
5%
Defense
5%
53%
Poisson
47%
4%
H2H
6%
44%
Goals
56%
53%
Total
47%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Botafogo 4-0 1-4 0-3 4-1 4 / 4 3 / 5
Fluminense 3-1 0-2 1-2 2-0 3 / 3 2 / 3
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Botafogo 3 2 1 3 2 1
Fluminense 4 3 1 3 1 2
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Botafogo 2 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Fluminense 2 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-02-12 Fluminense 1 - 0 FT Botafogo
2026-02-01 Botafogo 0 - 1 FT Fluminense
2025-09-28 Fluminense 2 - 0 FT Botafogo
2025-04-27 Botafogo 2 - 0 FT Fluminense
2025-01-30 Botafogo 2 - 1 FT Fluminense
2024-09-21 Fluminense 0 - 1 FT Botafogo
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 2.38 SBO
Draw 3.40 BetVictor
Away win 3.50 Betano
Over 2.5 2.02 Pinnacle
Under 2.5 1.87 Superbet
BTTS Yes 1.75 Bet365
BTTS No 2.10 Betfair
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Stats
StatBotafogoFluminense
expected_goals 1.22 0.94
Ball Possession 41% 59%
Total Shots 20 14
Shots on Goal 7 4
Shots off Goal 7 5
Blocked Shots 6 5
Shots insidebox 9 11
Shots outsidebox 11 3
Corner Kicks 7 7
Offsides 0 1
Fouls 16 19
Yellow Cards 4 3
Red Cards 1 0
Goalkeeper Saves 3 6
Total passes 324 471
Passes accurate 273 409
Passes % 84% 87%
goals_prevented -0.26 -0.26
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+5' Botafogo Marcal Card Yellow Card
90+4' Botafogo Marcal Card Yellow Card
90+2' Botafogo G. Justino Card Yellow Card
85' Fluminense R. Castillo subst Out: Hulk
85' Botafogo J. Barrera subst Out: L. E. Jales do Nascimento
85' Botafogo A. Montoro subst Out: Danilo Pereira
79' Fluminense Y. Soteldo subst Out: L. Acosta
79' Fluminense Nonato subst Out: J. Savarino
77' Fluminense Samuel Xavier Card Yellow Card
76' Fluminense Nonato Card Yellow Card
70' Fluminense K. Serna subst Out: A. Canobbio
70' Fluminense PH Ganso subst Out: Hercules
70' Botafogo Alex Telles subst Out: Paulinho
68' Botafogo N. Ferraresi Card Yellow Card
59' Botafogo Kauan Toledo subst Out: J. Barrera
59' Botafogo L. M. Villalba Jaume subst Out: Matheus Martins
58' Fluminense Ignacio Goal Assist: K. Serna
54' Fluminense Ignacio Card Yellow Card
44' Botafogo Alex Telles Goal Normal Goal
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Serie A 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Palmeiras Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) 1 23 48 14 6 3 40 19 21 LDWLW
Flamengo Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) 2 21 42 12 6 3 39 18 21 WDDWW
Atletico Paranaense Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) 3 23 41 12 5 6 31 20 11 DWDWW
Fluminense Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) 4 23 38 10 8 5 34 28 6 WDDDD
Cruzeiro Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification) 5 22 33 9 6 7 30 31 -1 WWLWD
Bahia Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 6 22 33 8 9 5 29 25 4 DDDDW
RB Bragantino Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 7 22 32 9 5 8 27 23 4 DLDDW
Corinthians Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 8 22 32 8 8 6 24 20 4 WDDWW
Coritiba Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 9 23 31 8 7 8 28 30 -2 DWLDL
Botafogo Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 10 21 30 8 6 7 35 33 2 DWDWL
Atletico-MG Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 11 21 29 8 5 8 27 27 0 DWDWL
Sao Paulo 12 22 27 7 6 9 27 26 1 DLDLL
Vitoria 13 22 26 7 5 10 22 33 -11 LLLDW
Gremio 14 21 25 6 7 8 24 27 -3 WDLLW
Mirassol 15 21 23 6 5 10 24 30 -6 LWDWL
Internacional 16 22 23 5 8 9 23 27 -4 DDLLL
Santos Relegation - Serie B 17 21 22 5 7 9 29 35 -6 LDLWL
Vasco DA Gama Relegation - Serie B 18 21 22 5 7 9 23 31 -8 DDLLL
Remo Relegation - Serie B 19 22 22 5 7 10 26 36 -10 DLWLW
Chapecoense-sc Relegation - Serie B 20 21 10 1 7 13 20 43 -23 LDLLL