Coritiba 2-1 Chapecoense-sc: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Coritiba 2-1 Chapecoense-sc: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Serie A 🌍 Brazil

Sat, Aug 8 2026 · 23:30

Coritiba

2 - 1

Chapecoense-sc

🏆 Serie A

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.36

League avg: 1.20

Both

2.26

League avg: 2.20

Away

0.91

League avg: 1.00

1X2 Probability

Home

43%

ELO-based: 46%

Draw

30%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

27%

ELO-based: 30%

Goal Probability

2.5+

47%

3.5+

27%

BTTS

50%

Best Score Tips

1 - 014%

1 - 113%

0 - 010%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Chapecoense-sc
		0	1	2	3	4
Coritiba	0	10.4%	9.4%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%
	1	14.1%	12.8%	5.8%	1.7%	0.4%
	2	9.6%	8.7%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
	3	4.3%	3.9%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	1.5%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1590-19

League

1612±0

Away

1519-27

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Coritiba	1590	1582	1526	1510	1618	-19
Chapecoense-sc	1519	1488	1466	1515	1552	-27

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Coritiba	9	21	27	7	6	8	25	28	WLLDL
Chapecoense-sc	20	20	10	1	7	12	19	41	LLLLD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Coritiba	5	27%	50%	0%	0.8	1.8
Chapecoense-sc	5	7%	38%	0%	0.6	2.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Coritiba	1.1	1.3	1.2	1.2	1.5	1.3
Chapecoense-sc	1.3	0.6	1.0	2.4	1.7	2.1

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Coritiba	1.2	1.1	1.3	1.2
Chapecoense-sc	1.0	0.6	2.1	1.7

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	8.00%		10.71%	7.32%
16-30	16.00%	21.05%	17.86%	17.07%
31-45	24.00%	15.79%	7.14%	17.07%
46-60	24.00%	10.53%	17.86%	24.39%
61-75	20.00%	10.53%	21.43%	14.63%
76-90	8.00%	42.11%	25.00%	19.51%

Team Comparison

Form

57%

Attack

43%

55%

Defense

45%

66%

Poisson

34%

62%

H2H

38%

54%

Goals

46%

62%

Total

38%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Coritiba	2-0	0-3	1-3	4-1	3 / 3	3 / 4
Chapecoense-sc	4-2		0-4	2-0	4 / 2	4 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Coritiba	6	2	4	7	3	4
Chapecoense-sc	1	1	0	8	3	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Coritiba	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Chapecoense-sc	2	66.67%	1	33.33%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-02-11	Chapecoense-sc	3 - 3 FT	Coritiba
2025-08-09	Coritiba	0 - 0 FT	Chapecoense-sc
2025-04-12	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 2 FT	Coritiba
2024-11-17	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 1 FT	Coritiba
2024-07-27	Coritiba	1 - 0 FT	Chapecoense-sc
2017-12-03	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 1 FT	Coritiba

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.67	Betano
Draw	3.91	Pinnacle
Away win	5.90	Betano
Over 2.5	2.00	Pinnacle
Under 2.5	1.87	Unibet
BTTS Yes	1.95	Bet365
BTTS No	1.87	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Coritiba	Chapecoense-sc
expected_goals	0.18	0.00
Ball Possession	50%	50%
Total Shots	4	0
Shots on Goal	0	0
Shots off Goal	2	0
Blocked Shots	2	0
Shots insidebox	3	0
Shots outsidebox	1	0
Corner Kicks	2	2
Offsides	—	—
Fouls	4	1
Yellow Cards	—	—
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	—	—
Total passes	89	88
Passes accurate	73	71
Passes %	82%	81%
goals_prevented	—	—

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+5'	Chapecoense-sc	Tulio	Goal	Assist: K. Ramirez
84'	Coritiba	Pedro Rocha	subst	Out: Maicon
83'	Coritiba	Pedro Rocha	Goal	Assist: J. Lavega
78'	Chapecoense-sc	Camilo Reijers	subst	Out: Enio
77'	Chapecoense-sc	Fernando	subst	Out: Bruno Pacheco
62'	Chapecoense-sc	Marcinho	subst	Out: K. Ramirez
62'	Chapecoense-sc	Rubens Ricoldi	subst	Out: F. Rossi
56'	Chapecoense-sc	Rubens Ricoldi	Card	Yellow Card
48'	Coritiba	B. Ocampo	subst	Out: Vini Paulista
48'	Coritiba	Jacy	subst	Out: Rodrigo Moledo
46'	Coritiba	Bruno Melo	subst	Out: Felipe Jonatan
44'	Coritiba	Jacy	Var	Goal Disallowed - offside
38'	Chapecoense-sc	Max Alves	subst	Out: Tulio
37'	Coritiba	Josue	subst	Out: B. Ocampo
32'	Coritiba	Bruno Melo	Card	Yellow Card
31'	Coritiba	Tiago Coser	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Serie A 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Palmeiras Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	1	23	48	14	6	3	40	19	21	LDWLW
Flamengo Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	2	21	42	12	6	3	39	18	21	WDDWW
Atletico Paranaense Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	3	23	41	12	5	6	31	20	11	DWDWW
Fluminense Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	4	23	38	10	8	5	34	28	6	WDDDD
Cruzeiro Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)	5	22	33	9	6	7	30	31	-1	WWLWD
Bahia Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	6	22	33	8	9	5	29	25	4	DDDDW
RB Bragantino Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	7	22	32	9	5	8	27	23	4	DLDDW
Corinthians Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	8	22	32	8	8	6	24	20	4	WDDWW
Coritiba Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	9	23	31	8	7	8	28	30	-2	DWLDL
Botafogo Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	10	21	30	8	6	7	35	33	2	DWDWL
Atletico-MG Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	11	21	29	8	5	8	27	27	0	DWDWL
Sao Paulo	12	22	27	7	6	9	27	26	1	DLDLL
Vitoria	13	22	26	7	5	10	22	33	-11	LLLDW
Gremio	14	21	25	6	7	8	24	27	-3	WDLLW
Mirassol	15	21	23	6	5	10	24	30	-6	LWDWL
Internacional	16	22	23	5	8	9	23	27	-4	DDLLL
Santos Relegation - Serie B	17	21	22	5	7	9	29	35	-6	LDLWL
Vasco DA Gama Relegation - Serie B	18	21	22	5	7	9	23	31	-8	DDLLL
Remo Relegation - Serie B	19	22	22	5	7	10	26	36	-10	DLWLW
Chapecoense-sc Relegation - Serie B	20	21	10	1	7	13	20	43	-23	LDLLL