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Cruzeiro 3-1 Mirassol: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sun, Aug 9 2026 Β· 14:00
FT
πŸ† Serie A
🌍 Brazil
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.54
League avg: 1.30
Both
2.62
League avg: 2.50
Away
1.08
League avg: 1.20
1X2 Probability
Home
43%
ELO-based: 48%
Draw
28%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
29%
ELO-based: 28%
Goal Probability
2.5+
50%
3.5+
29%
BTTS
54%
Best Score Tips
1 - 112%
1 - 011%
2 - 19%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Cruzeiro vs Mirassol.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Mirassol
01234
Cruzeiro 0 7.3% 7.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
1 11.2% 12.1% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6%
2 8.6% 9.3% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5%
3 4.4% 4.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
ELO Overview
Home
1667+15
League
1612Β±0
Away
1572+3
ELO Verdict
Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Cruzeiro16671685155915931676+15
Mirassol15721575146815561605+3
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Cruzeiro521308672730WDWLW
Mirassol1520236592327WLWDW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Cruzeiro 5 67% 46% 69% 1.2 0.8
Mirassol 5 67% 46% 69% 1.2 0.8
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Cruzeiro 1.5 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.7 1.4
Mirassol 1.4 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.4
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Cruzeiro 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.2
Mirassol 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.6
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 14.81% 20.00% 10.34%
16-30 14.81% 28.57% 10.00% 20.69%
31-45 18.52% 28.57% 16.67% 13.79%
46-60 14.81% 14.29% 16.67% 3.45%
61-75 22.22% 9.52% 6.67% 13.79%
76-90 14.81% 19.05% 30.00% 37.93%
Team Comparison
5%
Form
5%
5%
Attack
5%
5%
Defense
5%
62%
Poisson
38%
71%
H2H
29%
56%
Goals
44%
57%
Total
44%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Cruzeiro 3-0 1-2 1-3 4-0 3 / 2 3 / 4
Mirassol 2-1 1-2 1-2 3-1 2 / 2 2 / 3
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Cruzeiro 5 3 2 4 2 2
Mirassol 1 1 0 6 2 4
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Cruzeiro 3 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Mirassol 1 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-02-11 Mirassol 2 - 2 FT Cruzeiro
2025-08-18 Mirassol 1 - 1 FT Cruzeiro
2025-03-29 Cruzeiro 2 - 1 FT Mirassol
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.72 Betano
Draw 3.80 Dafabet
Away win 5.75 Bet365
Over 2.5 2.07 Betano
Under 2.5 1.87 Betfair
BTTS Yes 1.95 Bet365
BTTS No 1.90 Betfair
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Stats
StatCruzeiroMirassol
expected_goals 0.68 1.31
Ball Possession 50% 50%
Total Shots 11 13
Shots on Goal 3 4
Shots off Goal 6 4
Blocked Shots 2 5
Shots insidebox 8 8
Shots outsidebox 3 5
Corner Kicks 4 1
Offsides 0 2
Fouls 14 18
Yellow Cards 3 2
Red Cards β€” β€”
Goalkeeper Saves 3 0
Total passes 374 379
Passes accurate 313 321
Passes % 84% 85%
goals_prevented -1.37 -1.37
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+4' Mirassol Shaylon Card Yellow Card
90' Cruzeiro L. Villalba subst Out: G. Rojas
85' Cruzeiro Wesley Card Yellow Card
84' Cruzeiro Wesley Goal Assist: L. Villalba
80' Mirassol Wallisson subst Out: Alesson
80' Mirassol Elias subst Out: Igor Formiga
76' Cruzeiro Kaio Jorge Goal Assist: Fagner
69' Mirassol Eduardo subst Out: Edson Carioca
69' Mirassol Bruno Santos subst Out: Andre Luis
68' Mirassol Elias Card Yellow Card
67' Cruzeiro Matheus Pereira subst Out: Kaio Jorge
59' Mirassol Denilson subst Out: Shaylon
59' Cruzeiro K. Arroyo subst Out: J. Costa
59' Cruzeiro Ze Lucas subst Out: Lucas Silva
59' Cruzeiro Kenji subst Out: Wesley
48' Cruzeiro Kenji Card Yellow Card
27' Mirassol Reinaldo Goal Penalty
26' Cruzeiro Gerson Card Yellow Card
12' Cruzeiro Joao Marcelo Goal Assist: Bruno Rodrigues
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Serie A 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Palmeiras Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) 1 22 48 14 6 2 38 16 22 DWLWW
Flamengo Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) 2 21 42 12 6 3 39 18 21 WDDWW
Atletico Paranaense Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) 3 22 40 12 4 6 30 19 11 WDWWW
Fluminense Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) 4 22 35 9 8 5 31 26 5 DDDDD
Cruzeiro Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification) 5 22 33 9 6 7 30 31 -1 WWLWD
Bahia Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 6 22 33 8 9 5 29 25 4 DDDDW
Corinthians Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 7 22 32 8 8 6 24 20 4 WDDWW
RB Bragantino Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 8 21 31 9 4 8 26 22 4 LDDWW
Botafogo Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 9 21 30 8 6 7 35 33 2 DWDWL
Coritiba Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 10 22 30 8 6 8 27 29 -2 WLDLL
Atletico-MG Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) 11 21 29 8 5 8 27 27 0 DWDWL
Sao Paulo 12 21 26 7 5 9 26 25 1 LDLLD
Vitoria 13 22 26 7 5 10 22 33 -11 LLLDW
Gremio 14 21 25 6 7 8 24 27 -3 WDLLW
Mirassol 15 21 23 6 5 10 24 30 -6 LWDWL
Internacional 16 22 23 5 8 9 23 27 -4 DDLLL
Santos Relegation - Serie B 17 21 22 5 7 9 29 35 -6 LDLWL
Vasco DA Gama Relegation - Serie B 18 21 22 5 7 9 23 31 -8 DDLLL
Remo Relegation - Serie B 19 22 22 5 7 10 26 36 -10 DLWLW
Chapecoense-sc Relegation - Serie B 20 21 10 1 7 13 20 43 -23 LDLLL