Santos 0-2 Atletico Paranaense: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Santos 0-2 Atletico Paranaense: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Serie A 🌍 Brazil

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 21:30

Santos

0 - 2

Atletico Paranaense

🏆 Serie A

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.41

League avg: 1.50

Both

2.50

League avg: 2.80

Away

1.09

League avg: 1.30

1X2 Probability

Home

37%

ELO-based: 31%

Draw

29%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

34%

ELO-based: 45%

Goal Probability

2.5+

49%

3.5+

28%

BTTS

53%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

1 - 012%

0 - 19%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Santos vs Atletico Paranaense

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Santos vs Atletico Paranaense.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Atletico Paranaense
		0	1	2	3	4
Santos	0	8.2%	8.9%	4.9%	1.8%	0.5%
	1	11.5%	12.6%	6.9%	2.5%	0.7%
	2	8.1%	8.9%	4.9%	1.8%	0.5%
	3	3.8%	4.2%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
	4	1.3%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1578-16

League

1612±0

Away

1641+44

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Santos	1578	1569	1529	1617	1555	-16
Atletico Paranaense	1641	1667	1553	1592	1667	+44

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Santos	17	20	22	5	7	8	29	33	LLWLD
Atletico Paranaense	3	21	37	11	4	6	28	19	WWWWD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Santos	5	27%	62%	15%	1.6	2.2
Atletico Paranaense	5	87%	54%	85%	1.4	0.4

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Santos	1.5	1.3	1.5	1.3	2.1	1.7
Atletico Paranaense	1.7	0.9	1.3	0.5	1.3	0.9

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Santos	1.5	1.5	1.7	1.3
Atletico Paranaense	1.3	0.9	0.9	1.3

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	3.23%	25.00%	6.45%	26.32%
16-30	19.35%	3.57%	16.13%	21.05%
31-45	22.58%	14.29%	12.90%	26.32%
46-60	25.81%	25.00%	9.68%	5.26%
61-75	12.90%	3.57%	25.81%
76-90	16.13%	28.57%	29.03%	21.05%

Team Comparison

24%

Form

76%

53%

Attack

47%

15%

Defense

85%

57%

Poisson

43%

38%

H2H

62%

43%

Goals

57%

38%

Total

62%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Santos	3-1		0-3	4-2	3 / 2	3 / 4
Atletico Paranaense	4-1	1-2	0-1	3-0	4 / 2	1 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Santos	4	3	1	2	1	1
Atletico Paranaense	7	5	2	6	2	4

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Santos	5	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Atletico Paranaense	3	75.00%	1	25.00%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-02-12	Atletico Paranaense	2 - 1 FT	Santos
2023-12-03	Atletico Paranaense	3 - 0 FT	Santos
2023-08-05	Santos	1 - 1 FT	Atletico Paranaense
2022-09-28	Santos	2 - 0 FT	Atletico Paranaense
2022-06-04	Atletico Paranaense	2 - 2 FT	Santos
2021-10-30	Atletico Paranaense	0 - 1 FT	Santos

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.16	Pinnacle
Draw	3.40	Betano
Away win	3.85	Betano
Over 2.5	2.13	Pinnacle
Under 2.5	1.80	Betano
BTTS Yes	1.91	Bet365
BTTS No	1.95	Betano

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Santos	Atletico Paranaense
expected_goals	1.27	1.15
Ball Possession	62%	38%
Total Shots	22	8
Shots on Goal	2	4
Shots off Goal	10	1
Blocked Shots	10	3
Shots insidebox	13	5
Shots outsidebox	9	3
Corner Kicks	10	2
Offsides	2	2
Fouls	12	11
Yellow Cards	1	1
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	2	2
Total passes	568	351
Passes accurate	494	279
Passes %	87%	79%
goals_prevented	0.12	0.12

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
85'	Atletico Paranaense	Joao Cruz	subst	Out: Dudu Kogitzki
80'	Santos	Joao Schmidt	subst	Out: Willian Arao
80'	Santos	Gabriel Menino	subst	Out: Thaciano
71'	Atletico Paranaense	Luiz Gustavo	subst	Out: Diogo Riquelme
61'	Atletico Paranaense	Gilberto	subst	Out: Dantas
61'	Santos	C. Oliva	subst	Out: Rony
60'	Atletico Paranaense	Leozinho	subst	Out: K. A. Calderon Vargas
60'	Atletico Paranaense	Jadson	subst	Out: Felipinho
46'	Santos	G. Caballero	subst	Out: B. Rollheiser
34'	Atletico Paranaense	K. Viveros	Card	Yellow Card
26'	Atletico Paranaense	K. Viveros	Goal	Assist: Joao Cruz
20'	Santos	A. Frias	Card	Yellow Card
14'	Atletico Paranaense	K. Viveros	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Serie A 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Palmeiras Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	1	22	48	14	6	2	38	16	22	DWLWW
Flamengo Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	2	21	42	12	6	3	39	18	21	WDDWW
Atletico Paranaense Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	3	22	40	12	4	6	30	19	11	WDWWW
Fluminense Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	4	22	35	9	8	5	31	26	5	DDDDD
Cruzeiro Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)	5	22	33	9	6	7	30	31	-1	WWLWD
Bahia Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	6	22	33	8	9	5	29	25	4	DDDDW
Corinthians Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	7	22	32	8	8	6	24	20	4	WDDWW
RB Bragantino Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	8	21	31	9	4	8	26	22	4	LDDWW
Botafogo Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	9	21	30	8	6	7	35	33	2	DWDWL
Coritiba Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	10	22	30	8	6	8	27	29	-2	WLDLL
Atletico-MG Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	11	21	29	8	5	8	27	27	0	DWDWL
Sao Paulo	12	21	26	7	5	9	26	25	1	LDLLD
Vitoria	13	22	26	7	5	10	22	33	-11	LLLDW
Gremio	14	21	25	6	7	8	24	27	-3	WDLLW
Mirassol	15	21	23	6	5	10	24	30	-6	LWDWL
Internacional	16	22	23	5	8	9	23	27	-4	DDLLL
Santos Relegation - Serie B	17	21	22	5	7	9	29	35	-6	LDLWL
Vasco DA Gama Relegation - Serie B	18	21	22	5	7	9	23	31	-8	DDLLL
Remo Relegation - Serie B	19	22	22	5	7	10	26	36	-10	DLWLW
Chapecoense-sc Relegation - Serie B	20	21	10	1	7	13	20	43	-23	LDLLL