Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 18:00 •
Estadio Olimpico Universitario
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.52)
0.67 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.9% | 23.7% | 14.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
2 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Mazatlán | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 0 | 9.5% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Mazatlán |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 47% | 41% |
| Defense | 59% | 35% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Mazatlán | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 33% | 38% | 35% | 27% | 7% | 17% |
| Draws | 40% | 38% | 39% | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| Loses | 27% | 25% | 26% | 27% | 73% | 50% |
U.N.A.M. - PumasLLWDDDWWDLLLDLDWWLDWDWDWWDLWDWD
MazatlánDWLDLDLLDDLWLDDLDLLLLLWDWLWLDL
League goals
| Metric | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Mazatlán | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 25 | 48 | 24 | 11 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 16 | 26 | 42 | 28 | 26 | 54 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Mazatlán | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 74% | 77% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 39% | 33% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 19% | 3% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 3% | 3% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Mazatlán | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Mazatlán |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 9 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 9 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Mazatlán |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-1 | 1-5 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Mazatlán |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 61% | 39% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 91% | 9% |
| Total | 72.7% | 27.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.35 @ 188Bet
Draw5.90 @ Betano
Away9.30 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.46 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.72 @ Betano
No2.13 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
vs
Mazatlán
Expected goals
1.68
U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
League Avg: 1.52
Total
2.35
0.67
Mazatlán xG
League Avg: 1.15
1x2 probabilities
Home
60.9%
Draw
23.7%
Away
14.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
16.0%
Tip
2 - 0
13.4%
Tip
1 - 1
10.8%
More chances
1.5+
78%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
74%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): U.N.A.M. - Pumas = 1.68 (league 1.52), Mazatlán = 0.67 (league 1.15)
| Mazatlán | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 0 | 9.5% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.9% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 14.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1