Dundalk 1-2 Drogheda United: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Dundalk 1-2 Drogheda United: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Premier Division 🌍 Ireland

Fri, Jul 10 2026 · 18:45

Dundalk

1 - 2

Drogheda United

🏆 Premier Division

🌍 Ireland

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.96

League avg: 1.60

Both

3.23

League avg: 2.80

Away

1.27

League avg: 1.20

1X2 Probability

Home

52%

ELO-based: 48%

Draw

24%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

24%

ELO-based: 28%

Goal Probability

2.5+

57%

3.5+

34%

BTTS

58%

Best Score Tips

1 - 110%

2 - 110%

1 - 08%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Dundalk vs Drogheda United

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Dundalk vs Drogheda United.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Drogheda United
		0	1	2	3	4
Dundalk	0	4.0%	5.0%	3.2%	1.4%	0.4%
	1	7.7%	9.9%	6.3%	2.7%	0.8%
	2	7.6%	9.6%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%
	3	4.9%	6.3%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%
	4	2.4%	3.1%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%

ELO Overview

Home

1582-24

League

1550±0

Away

1492-9

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Dundalk	1582	1568	1552	1693	1540	-24
Drogheda United	1492	1484	1486	1488	1502	-9

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Dundalk	4	23	35	9	8	6	37	34	WWWLL
Drogheda United	8	23	22	5	7	11	27	40	DLDLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Dundalk	5	60%	47%	59%	1.6	1.4
Drogheda United	5	13%	29%	35%	1.0	2.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Dundalk	1.8	1.4	1.6	1.2	1.8	1.5
Drogheda United	1.2	1.2	1.2	1.3	2.2	1.7

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Dundalk	1.6	1.8	1.5	1.2
Drogheda United	1.2	1.2	1.7	2.2

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	17.14%	24.14%	11.11%	10.53%
16-30	22.86%	13.79%	11.11%	15.79%
31-45	11.43%	6.90%	13.89%	15.79%
46-60	5.71%	17.24%	30.56%	18.42%
61-75	2.86%	24.14%	11.11%	23.68%
76-90	40.00%	13.79%	22.22%	15.79%

Team Comparison

82%

Form

18%

62%

Attack

38%

61%

Defense

39%

Poisson

36%

H2H

64%

43%

Goals

57%

59%

Total

41%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Dundalk	5-0	2-3	1-3	4-0	5 / 3	3 / 4
Drogheda United	2-0	3-4	1-3	4-1	3 / 4	3 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Dundalk	5	4	1	2	0	2
Drogheda United	6	5	1	5	3	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Dundalk	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Drogheda United	2	66.67%	1	33.33%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-22	Drogheda United	1 - 1 FT	Dundalk
2026-02-20	Dundalk	1 - 1 FT	Drogheda United
2026-01-30	Drogheda United	—	Dundalk
2024-11-01	Drogheda United	0 - 0 FT	Dundalk
2024-07-19	Drogheda United	2 - 1 FT	Dundalk
2024-07-12	Dundalk	4 - 2 FT	Drogheda United

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.65	Pinnacle
Draw	4.23	Pinnacle
Away win	5.00	10Bet
Over 2.5	1.65	Unibet
Under 2.5	2.38	Betfair
BTTS Yes	1.65	Unibet
BTTS No	2.25	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Dundalk	Drogheda United
Ball Possession	55%	45%
Total Shots	9	11
Shots on Goal	4	3
Shots off Goal	2	6
Blocked Shots	3	2
Shots insidebox	5	8
Shots outsidebox	4	3
Corner Kicks	6	3
Offsides	0	2
Fouls	10	3
Yellow Cards	1	1
Red Cards	0	0
Goalkeeper Saves	3	3
Total passes	281	225
Passes accurate	200	138
Free Kicks	2	10

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
85'	Drogheda United	S. Farrell	Goal	Normal Goal
80'	Dundalk	M. Animasahun	subst	Out: H. Groome
76'	Drogheda United	M. Doyle	subst	Out: R. Markey
73'	Drogheda United	S. Farrell	Goal	Normal Goal
70'	Drogheda United	B. Kavanagh	subst	Out: J. Godden
69'	Dundalk	T. Clarke	Card	Yellow Card
63'	Dundalk	K. Buckley	subst	Out: S. Tracey
63'	Dundalk	T. Wilson	subst	Out: D. McDaid
63'	Dundalk	J. Wilson	subst	Out: T. Clarke
50'	Drogheda United	J. Bucknor	Card	Yellow Card
46'	Drogheda United	L. Burney	subst	Out: J. Bolger
45+4'	Dundalk	C. Kilduff	Card	Yellow Card
29'	Dundalk	G. Arubi	Goal	Normal Goal

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Shamrock Rovers Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)	1	25	50	15	5	5	40	22	18	WWDWL
Bohemians Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	2	25	43	12	7	6	40	27	13	WWWLL
St Patrick's Athl. Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	3	23	41	12	5	6	38	19	19	WLWWL
Dundalk	4	23	35	9	8	6	37	34	3	LLWWW
Shelbourne	5	24	34	8	10	6	35	35	0	WDLDW
Derry City	6	25	29	6	11	8	32	31	1	LWDLW
Galway United	7	22	24	6	6	10	29	37	-8	LLWLD
Drogheda United	8	23	22	5	7	11	27	40	-13	LLDLD
Waterford Premier Division (Relegation)	9	23	20	4	8	11	32	46	-14	WWLWD
Sligo Rovers Relegation - Division 1	10	23	20	5	5	13	18	37	-19	LDLLL