Waterford 1-1 St Patrick's Athl.: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Waterford 1-1 St Patrick's Athl.: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Premier Division 🌍 Ireland

Fri, Jul 10 2026 · 19:00

Waterford

1 - 1

St Patrick's Athl.

🏆 Premier Division

🌍 Ireland

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.28

League avg: 1.40

Both

2.41

League avg: 3.10

Away

1.12

League avg: 1.70

1X2 Probability

Home

34%

ELO-based: 26%

Draw

31%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

35%

ELO-based: 50%

Goal Probability

2.5+

48%

3.5+

28%

BTTS

50%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

1 - 012%

0 - 110%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl..

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		St Patrick's Athl.
		0	1	2	3	4
Waterford	0	9.0%	10.1%	5.7%	2.1%	0.6%
	1	11.6%	13.0%	7.3%	2.7%	0.8%
	2	7.4%	8.3%	4.7%	1.8%	0.5%
	3	3.2%	3.6%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
	4	1.0%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1491+43

League

1550±0

Away

1603+8

ELO Verdict

Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Waterford	1491	1517	1475	1584	1390	+43
St Patrick's Athl.	1603	1599	1510	1617	1689	+8

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Waterford	9	23	20	4	8	11	32	46	DWLWW
St Patrick's Athl.	3	23	41	12	5	6	38	19	LWWLW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Waterford	5	67%	82%	47%	2.8	1.8
St Patrick's Athl.	5	60%	41%	82%	1.4	0.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Waterford	1.3	1.5	1.4	1.3	2.7	2.0
St Patrick's Athl.	2.3	1.0	1.7	0.5	1.2	0.8

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Waterford	1.4	1.3	2.0	1.3
St Patrick's Athl.	1.7	1.0	0.8	1.2

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	10.00%	18.42%	14.58%	31.58%
16-30	10.00%	13.16%	16.67%	5.26%
31-45	16.67%	13.16%	18.75%	15.79%
46-60	13.33%	21.05%	10.42%
61-75	20.00%	13.16%	10.42%	26.32%
76-90	30.00%	21.05%	29.17%	21.05%

Team Comparison

53%

Form

47%

67%

Attack

33%

25%

Defense

75%

49%

Poisson

51%

15%

H2H

85%

27%

Goals

73%

39%

Total

61%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Waterford	4-0	2-4	0-2	5-0	4 / 4	3 / 5
St Patrick's Athl.	4-0	1-3	0-1	2-0	4 / 3	1 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Waterford	2	2	0	8	4	4
St Patrick's Athl.	9	6	3	9	3	6

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Waterford	6	85.71%	1	14.29%	—	—
St Patrick's Athl.	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-08	St Patrick's Athl.	4 - 1 FT	Waterford
2026-03-20	Waterford	0 - 2 FT	St Patrick's Athl.
2025-10-24	St Patrick's Athl.	1 - 1 FT	Waterford
2025-08-03	Waterford	0 - 2 FT	St Patrick's Athl.
2025-05-23	St Patrick's Athl.	2 - 2 FT	Waterford
2025-03-28	Waterford	1 - 2 FT	St Patrick's Athl.

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	5.70	10Bet
Draw	4.03	Pinnacle
Away win	1.64	Pinnacle
Over 2.5	1.86	SBO
Under 2.5	2.05	Betfair
BTTS Yes	1.82	Superbet
BTTS No	2.05	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Waterford	St Patrick's Athl.
Ball Possession	32%	68%
Total Shots	8	9
Shots on Goal	4	1
Shots off Goal	1	5
Blocked Shots	3	3
Shots insidebox	8	6
Shots outsidebox	0	3
Corner Kicks	2	3
Offsides	0	1
Fouls	6	5
Yellow Cards	2	1
Red Cards	0	0
Goalkeeper Saves	1	3
Total passes	104	277
Passes accurate	57	229
Free Kicks	5	5

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+5'	St Patrick's Athl.	A. Keena	Goal	Penalty
89'	Waterford	C. Noonan	subst	Out: T. Coyle
83'	Waterford	P. Amond	subst	Out: D. McMenamy
78'	St Patrick's Athl.	R. Edmondson	subst	Out: S. Rooney
77'	St Patrick's Athl.	J. Brown	subst	Out: D. Nugent
69'	St Patrick's Athl.	L. Turner	subst	Out: C. Forrester
61'	St Patrick's Athl.	J. Redmond	Card	Yellow Card
55'	Waterford	J. Houston	Card	Yellow Card
51'	St Patrick's Athl.	L. Turner	Card	Yellow Card
46'	St Patrick's Athl.	J. McClelland	subst	Out: A. Breslin
40'	Waterford	C. Noonan	Goal	Assist: T. Lonergan
32'	Waterford	J. Voilas	Card	Yellow Card
21'	St Patrick's Athl.	R. Palmer	subst	Out: B. Baggley
17'	Waterford	J. Mahon	Card	Yellow Card

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Shamrock Rovers Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)	1	25	50	15	5	5	40	22	18	WWDWL
Bohemians Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	2	25	43	12	7	6	40	27	13	WWWLL
St Patrick's Athl. Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	3	23	41	12	5	6	38	19	19	WLWWL
Dundalk	4	23	35	9	8	6	37	34	3	LLWWW
Shelbourne	5	24	34	8	10	6	35	35	0	WDLDW
Derry City	6	25	29	6	11	8	32	31	1	LWDLW
Galway United	7	22	24	6	6	10	29	37	-8	LLWLD
Drogheda United	8	23	22	5	7	11	27	40	-13	LLDLD
Waterford Premier Division (Relegation)	9	23	20	4	8	11	32	46	-14	WWLWD
Sligo Rovers Relegation - Division 1	10	23	20	5	5	13	18	37	-19	LDLLL