Wexford 2-2 Kerry: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Wexford 2-2 Kerry: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 First Division 🌍 Ireland

Fri, Jul 10 2026 · 18:45

Wexford

2 - 2

Kerry

🏆 First Division

🌍 Ireland

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.44

League avg: 1.10

Both

2.46

League avg: 2.10

Away

1.02

League avg: 1.00

1X2 Probability

Home

42%

ELO-based: 38%

Draw

31%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

27%

ELO-based: 38%

Goal Probability

2.5+

47%

3.5+

27%

BTTS

51%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

1 - 012%

2 - 19%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Wexford vs Kerry

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Wexford vs Kerry.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Kerry
		0	1	2	3	4
Wexford	0	8.6%	8.7%	4.4%	1.5%	0.4%
	1	12.3%	12.5%	6.4%	2.2%	0.5%
	2	8.9%	9.0%	4.6%	1.6%	0.4%
	3	4.3%	4.3%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
	4	1.5%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1429-26

League

1464±0

Away

1432+27

ELO Verdict

Draw edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Wexford	1429	1402	1474	1397	1458	-26
Kerry	1432	1447	1432	1446	1389	+27

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Wexford	6	22	27	7	6	9	25	30	LLDDL
Kerry	7	22	25	6	7	9	22	27	LWWWL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Wexford	5	13%	22%	0%	0.4	1.8
Kerry	5	60%	56%	44%	1.0	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Wexford	1.4	0.9	1.1	1.2	1.5	1.4
Kerry	1.2	0.8	1.0	0.9	1.5	1.2

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Wexford	1.1	1.4	1.4	1.2
Kerry	1.0	0.8	1.2	1.5

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	22.22%	14.29%	10.71%	10.71%
16-30	7.41%	14.29%	21.43%	3.57%
31-45	11.11%	14.29%		14.29%
46-60	18.52%	14.29%	14.29%	21.43%
61-75	22.22%	19.05%	21.43%	17.86%
76-90	18.52%	23.81%	32.14%	32.14%

Team Comparison

18%

Form

82%

29%

Attack

71%

36%

Defense

64%

59%

Poisson

41%

62%

H2H

38%

56%

Goals

44%

43%

Total

57%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Wexford	2-0	0-3	1-4	4-0	3 / 3	4 / 4
Kerry	2-1	0-1	1-2	4-2	2 / 2	2 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Wexford	6	4	2	7	2	5
Kerry	5	3	2	5	1	4

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Wexford	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Kerry	3	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-15	Kerry	2 - 1 FT	Wexford
2026-03-13	Wexford	1 - 1 FT	Kerry
2025-10-10	Kerry	0 - 2 FT	Wexford
2025-06-27	Wexford	4 - 3 FT	Kerry
2025-05-16	Kerry	1 - 1 FT	Wexford
2025-03-21	Wexford	1 - 2 FT	Kerry

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.93	Dafabet
Draw	3.54	Pinnacle
Away win	3.95	10Bet
Over 2.5	2.01	Pinnacle
Under 2.5	1.92	Unibet
BTTS Yes	1.83	Bet365
BTTS No	2.04	Unibet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+4'	Wexford	Z. O'Sullivan	Goal	Normal Goal
89'	Wexford	K. Harnett	Card	Yellow Card
86'	Kerry	S. McGrath	Goal	Normal Goal
84'	Wexford		Card	Yellow Card
84'	Wexford		Card	Yellow Card
82'	Wexford	J. Wynne	subst	Out: G. Hodgins
72'	Kerry	C. Bargary	subst	Out: M. Britton
71'	Wexford	R. Butler	subst	Out: Z. O'Sullivan
61'	Kerry	C. Brosnan	subst	Out: S. McGrath
58'	Wexford	R. Ritchie	subst	Out: G. Tetteh
53'	Kerry	E. Lee	Card	Yellow Card
42'	Kerry	D. Okwute	Card	Yellow Card
32'	Kerry	J. Hakkinen	Goal	Normal Goal
26'	Wexford	K. Harnett	Goal	Normal Goal

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Cork City Promotion - Premier Division	1	22	54	17	3	2	43	11	32	WWWWW
UCD Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)	2	22	36	11	3	8	36	21	15	LWLWW
Bray Wanderers Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)	3	22	34	9	7	6	40	30	10	WLWDW
Cobh Ramblers Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)	4	22	31	9	4	9	25	30	-5	LLWLW
Longford Town Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)	5	22	28	7	7	8	23	27	-4	WLLWW
Wexford	6	22	27	7	6	9	25	30	-5	LDDLL
Kerry	7	22	25	6	7	9	22	27	-5	LWWWL
Athlone Town	8	22	24	6	6	10	19	27	-8	LDDLL
Finn Harps	9	22	22	5	7	10	20	37	-17	WDLLL
Treaty United	10	22	20	4	8	10	21	34	-13	WDLDL