El Paso Locomotive 1-0 Oakland Roots: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

El Paso Locomotive 1-0 Oakland Roots: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 USL Championship 🌍 USA

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 01:00

El Paso Locomotive

1 - 0

Oakland Roots

🏆 USL Championship

🌍 USA

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.78

League avg: 1.60

Both

3.51

League avg: 2.90

Away

1.72

League avg: 1.30

1X2 Probability

Home

31%

ELO-based: 44%

Draw

25%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

44%

ELO-based: 32%

Goal Probability

2.5+

59%

3.5+

36%

BTTS

59%

Best Score Tips

1 - 19%

2 - 18%

1 - 28%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland Roots.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Oakland Roots
		0	1	2	3	4
El Paso Locomotive	0	3.0%	5.2%	4.5%	2.6%	1.1%
	1	5.3%	9.2%	8.0%	4.6%	2.0%
	2	4.8%	8.2%	7.1%	4.1%	1.8%
	3	2.8%	4.9%	4.2%	2.4%	1.0%
	4	1.3%	2.2%	1.9%	1.1%	0.5%

ELO Overview

Home

1486+9

League

1517±0

Away

1431-35

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
El Paso Locomotive	1486	1487	1483	1541	1455	+9
Oakland Roots	1431	1409	1491	1459	1453	-35

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
El Paso Locomotive	6	18	25	7	4	7	28	27	WLWLW
Oakland Roots	10	19	22	5	7	7	25	28	LLLLD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
El Paso Locomotive	5	60%	83%	33%	1.0	0.8
Oakland Roots	5	7%	33%	0%	0.4	1.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
El Paso Locomotive	1.6	1.5	1.6	2.0	1.1	1.5
Oakland Roots	1.1	1.6	1.3	1.2	1.8	1.5

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
El Paso Locomotive	1.6	1.6	1.5	2.0
Oakland Roots	1.3	1.6	1.5	1.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	20.69%	8.70%	7.69%	23.33%
16-30	20.69%	17.39%	15.38%	6.67%
31-45	17.24%	17.39%	23.08%	10.00%
46-60	27.59%	21.74%	11.54%	10.00%
61-75	3.45%	8.70%	19.23%	23.33%
76-90	10.34%	26.09%	23.08%	26.67%

Team Comparison

Form

71%

Attack

29%

67%

Defense

33%

42%

Poisson

58%

29%

H2H

71%

47%

Goals

53%

58%

Total

42%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
El Paso Locomotive	2-0	0-4	1-4	2-0	3 / 4	4 / 2
Oakland Roots	4-2	3-4	1-3	2-0	4 / 4	3 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
El Paso Locomotive	4	2	2	3	0	3
Oakland Roots	3	1	2	6	4	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
El Paso Locomotive	4	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Oakland Roots	3	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-10	Oakland Roots	2 - 1 FT	El Paso Locomotive
2025-10-01	El Paso Locomotive	3 - 1 FT	Oakland Roots
2025-06-08	Oakland Roots	0 - 0 FT	El Paso Locomotive
2024-06-20	Oakland Roots	2 - 1 FT	El Paso Locomotive
2024-04-14	El Paso Locomotive	2 - 3 FT	Oakland Roots
2023-10-15	Oakland Roots	1 - 2 FT	El Paso Locomotive

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.99	Pinnacle
Draw	3.86	Pinnacle
Away win	3.50	Dafabet
Over 2.5	1.70	10Bet
Under 2.5	2.25	Bet365
BTTS Yes	1.62	Bet365
BTTS No	2.30	BetVictor

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
88'	El Paso Locomotive	E. Calvillo	subst	Out: C. Sainte
86'	Oakland Roots	J. Bravo	subst	Out: J. Kiil
81'	El Paso Locomotive	Z. Jones	Card	Yellow Card
76'	El Paso Locomotive	Gabriel Torres	subst	Out: R. Ruiz
65'	Oakland Roots	Bruno Lapa	subst	Out: T. Lepley
58'	El Paso Locomotive	B. Farkarlun	subst	Out: N. Dollenmayer
58'	El Paso Locomotive	R. Avila	subst	Out: Z. Jones
56'	Oakland Roots	P. Wilson	subst	Out: B. Jacquesson
46'	Oakland Roots	D. Garcia	subst	Out: J. de Vicente
46'	El Paso Locomotive	R. Coronado	subst	Out: A. Mendez
34'	El Paso Locomotive	R. Coronado	Card	Yellow Card
9'	El Paso Locomotive	R. Rubin	Goal	Assist: B. Farkarlun

League Standings

Local standings cache · USL Championship 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Tampa Bay Rowdies Play Offs: 1/8-finals	1	19	41	12	5	2	36	19	17	WWWDL
Charleston Battery Play Offs: 1/8-finals	2	19	33	10	3	6	38	24	14	WWLDL
Detroit City Play Offs: 1/8-finals	3	18	31	9	4	5	26	17	9	WDLWW
Louisville City Play Offs: 1/8-finals	4	19	28	8	4	7	33	32	1	DLWLW
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Play Offs: 1/8-finals	5	19	27	8	3	8	20	20	0	DWLLW
Rhode Island Play Offs: 1/8-finals	6	17	25	7	4	6	27	19	8	WLWWL
Miami FC Play Offs: 1/8-finals	7	20	22	5	7	8	24	32	-8	LDLLW
Indy Eleven Play Offs: 1/8-finals	8	17	22	6	4	7	20	21	-1	DLLLL
Hartford Athletic	9	18	21	4	9	5	13	17	-4	DLDLD
Loudoun United	10	18	18	3	9	6	21	30	-9	LWWDD
Birmingham Legion	11	17	17	3	8	6	18	21	-3	WLDLD
Brooklyn	12	17	13	3	4	10	17	32	-15	LLDWL
Sporting JAX	13	19	8	1	5	13	23	51	-28	LLDWD
Orange County SC Play Offs: 1/8-finals	1	19	34	9	7	3	29	22	7	LWWDD
San Antonio Play Offs: 1/8-finals	2	19	32	8	8	3	26	21	5	DWWLD
New Mexico United Play Offs: 1/8-finals	3	16	30	9	3	4	25	17	8	WWWWW
FC Tulsa Play Offs: 1/8-finals	4	18	29	8	5	5	20	17	3	LWWDW
Lexington Play Offs: 1/8-finals	5	18	28	8	4	6	28	22	6	WWDWL
El Paso Locomotive Play Offs: 1/8-finals	6	19	28	8	4	7	29	27	2	WWLWL
Sacramento Republic Play Offs: 1/8-finals	7	18	27	7	6	5	24	16	8	DLWWD
Las Vegas Lights Play Offs: 1/8-finals	8	19	26	7	5	7	26	27	-1	WDDWW
Colorado Springs	9	18	25	7	4	7	28	26	2	LLWWW
Oakland Roots	10	20	22	5	7	8	25	29	-4	LDLLL
Phoenix Rising	11	19	22	5	7	7	24	26	-2	LDDWL
Monterey Bay	12	20	15	4	3	13	21	36	-15	LLLLL