Louisville City 1-1 San Antonio: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Louisville City 1-1 San Antonio: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 USL Championship 🌍 USA

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 00:00

Louisville City

1 - 1

San Antonio

🏆 USL Championship

🌍 USA

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.47

League avg: 1.80

Both

2.71

League avg: 3.20

Away

1.24

League avg: 1.40

1X2 Probability

Home

37%

ELO-based: 39%

Draw

28%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

35%

ELO-based: 37%

Goal Probability

2.5+

52%

3.5+

31%

BTTS

52%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

1 - 010%

2 - 19%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Louisville City vs San Antonio

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Louisville City vs San Antonio.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		San Antonio
		0	1	2	3	4
Louisville City	0	6.6%	8.2%	5.1%	2.1%	0.7%
	1	9.8%	12.1%	7.5%	3.1%	1.0%
	2	7.2%	8.9%	5.5%	2.3%	0.7%
	3	3.5%	4.4%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%
	4	1.3%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1577-8

League

1516±0

Away

1567+2

ELO Verdict

Draw edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Louisville City	1577	1565	1567	1653	1522	-8
San Antonio	1567	1574	1525	1536	1597	+2

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Louisville City	4	18	27	8	3	7	32	31	DWLWL
San Antonio	2	18	31	8	7	3	25	20	WDLWW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Louisville City	5	47%	100%	0%	2.0	2.2
San Antonio	5	67%	100%	20%	1.4	0.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Louisville City	1.6	2.0	1.8	1.3	2.1	1.7
San Antonio	1.6	1.2	1.4	0.9	1.3	1.1

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Louisville City	1.8	1.6	1.7	1.3
San Antonio	1.4	1.2	1.1	1.3

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	6.06%	7.69%	13.33%	15.79%
16-30	27.27%	19.23%	16.67%	10.53%
31-45	12.12%	19.23%	10.00%	15.79%
46-60	9.09%	19.23%	33.33%	31.58%
61-75	24.24%	15.38%	10.00%	5.26%
76-90	21.21%	19.23%	16.67%	21.05%

Team Comparison

41%

Form

59%

Attack

41%

27%

Defense

73%

Poisson

H2H

43%

Goals

57%

45%

Total

55%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Louisville City	4-1	0-2	0-2	3-1	4 / 4	2 / 5
San Antonio	3-1	2-3	1-2	2-0	3 / 4	3 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Louisville City	4	2	2	3	3	0
San Antonio	7	4	3	6	2	4

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Louisville City	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
San Antonio	0	0%	1	100.00%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2024-10-20	San Antonio	1 - 1 FT	Louisville City
2023-04-15	Louisville City	1 - 0 FT	San Antonio
2022-11-14	San Antonio	3 - 1 FT	Louisville City

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.47	Pinnacle
Draw	4.80	Pinnacle
Away win	6.40	10Bet
Over 2.5	1.56	Pinnacle
Under 2.5	2.46	Pinnacle
BTTS Yes	1.73	Betfair
BTTS No	2.10	Bet365

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+3'	San Antonio	C. Parano	subst	Out: C. Calov
87'	Louisville City	M. Akale	subst	Out: Q. Huerman
87'	Louisville City	C. Donovan	subst	Out: T. Showunmi
82'	San Antonio	L. Berron	Card	Yellow Card
78'	San Antonio	D. Pacheco	subst	Out: L. Haakenson
78'	San Antonio	C. Parano	Goal	Assist: J. Hernandez
78'	Louisville City	J. Morris	subst	Out: A. Dia
75'	San Antonio	A. Ward	Card	Yellow Card
72'	San Antonio	N. Blanco	subst	Out: E. Cuello
72'	San Antonio	N. Hernandez	subst	Out: M. Maldonado
68'	Louisville City	T. Davila	subst	Out: Z. Duncan
68'	Louisville City	E. Perez	subst	Out: S. Gleadle
30'	San Antonio	J. Hernandez	Card	Yellow Card
12'	Louisville City	M. Akale	Goal	Assist: R. Serrano

League Standings

Local standings cache · USL Championship 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Tampa Bay Rowdies Play Offs: 1/8-finals	1	19	41	12	5	2	36	19	17	WWWDL
Charleston Battery Play Offs: 1/8-finals	2	19	33	10	3	6	38	24	14	WWLDL
Detroit City Play Offs: 1/8-finals	3	18	31	9	4	5	26	17	9	WDLWW
Louisville City Play Offs: 1/8-finals	4	19	28	8	4	7	33	32	1	DLWLW
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Play Offs: 1/8-finals	5	19	27	8	3	8	20	20	0	DWLLW
Rhode Island Play Offs: 1/8-finals	6	17	25	7	4	6	27	19	8	WLWWL
Miami FC Play Offs: 1/8-finals	7	20	22	5	7	8	24	32	-8	LDLLW
Indy Eleven Play Offs: 1/8-finals	8	16	21	6	3	7	19	20	-1	LLLLW
Hartford Athletic	9	17	20	4	8	5	12	16	-4	LDLDL
Loudoun United	10	18	18	3	9	6	21	30	-9	LWWDD
Birmingham Legion	11	17	17	3	8	6	18	21	-3	WLDLD
Brooklyn	12	17	13	3	4	10	17	32	-15	LLDWL
Sporting JAX	13	19	8	1	5	13	23	51	-28	LLDWD
Orange County SC Play Offs: 1/8-finals	1	19	34	9	7	3	29	22	7	LWWDD
San Antonio Play Offs: 1/8-finals	2	19	32	8	8	3	26	21	5	DWWLD
New Mexico United Play Offs: 1/8-finals	3	16	30	9	3	4	25	17	8	WWWWW
FC Tulsa Play Offs: 1/8-finals	4	18	29	8	5	5	20	17	3	LWWDW
Lexington Play Offs: 1/8-finals	5	18	28	8	4	6	28	22	6	WWDWL
El Paso Locomotive Play Offs: 1/8-finals	6	19	28	8	4	7	29	27	2	WWLWL
Sacramento Republic Play Offs: 1/8-finals	7	18	27	7	6	5	24	16	8	DLWWD
Las Vegas Lights Play Offs: 1/8-finals	8	19	26	7	5	7	26	27	-1	WDDWW
Colorado Springs	9	18	25	7	4	7	28	26	2	LLWWW
Oakland Roots	10	20	22	5	7	8	25	29	-4	LDLLL
Phoenix Rising	11	19	22	5	7	7	24	26	-2	LDDWL
Monterey Bay	12	20	15	4	3	13	21	36	-15	LLLLL