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Miami FC 0-1 Las Vegas Lights: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sat, Aug 8 2026 Β· 23:00
FT
🌍 USA
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
2.00
League avg: 1.30
Both
3.77
League avg: 2.70
Away
1.76
League avg: 1.40
1X2 Probability
Home
36%
ELO-based: 36%
Draw
25%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
39%
ELO-based: 40%
Goal Probability
2.5+
61%
3.5+
38%
BTTS
60%
Best Score Tips
2 - 18%
1 - 18%
2 - 27%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Las Vegas Lights
01234
Miami FC 0 2.3% 4.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9%
1 4.6% 8.2% 7.2% 4.2% 1.9%
2 4.6% 8.2% 7.2% 4.2% 1.9%
3 3.1% 5.5% 4.8% 2.8% 1.2%
4 1.5% 2.7% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6%
ELO Overview
Home
1456-18
League
1517Β±0
Away
1476+41
ELO Verdict
Away edge, Low confidence, high upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Miami FC14561441146514831466-18
Las Vegas Lights14761498147414171450+41
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Miami FC719225772431DWLLD
Las Vegas Lights818236572527LWWDD
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Miami FC 5 33% 88% 0% 1.4 1.6
Las Vegas Lights 5 53% 63% 50% 1.0 0.8
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Miami FC 1.8 0.7 1.3 1.9 1.3 1.6
Las Vegas Lights 1.1 1.7 1.4 0.9 2.1 1.5
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Miami FC 1.3 1.8 1.6 1.9
Las Vegas Lights 1.4 1.7 1.5 2.1
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 9.09% 14.81% 15.15% 12.00%
16-30 13.64% 7.41% 9.09% 20.00%
31-45 22.73% 25.93% 12.12% 16.00%
46-60 18.18% 18.52% 18.18% 24.00%
61-75 9.09% 14.81% 15.15% 12.00%
76-90 27.27% 18.52% 30.30% 16.00%
Team Comparison
38%
Form
62%
58%
Attack
42%
33%
Defense
67%
48%
Poisson
52%
36%
H2H
64%
5%
Goals
5%
44%
Total
56%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Miami FC 2-0 2-4 0-3 4-1 4 / 4 4 / 4
Las Vegas Lights 2-0 1-2 2-3 4-2 2 / 2 3 / 4
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Miami FC 6 2 4 8 2 6
Las Vegas Lights 5 4 1 2 2 0
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Miami FC 2 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Las Vegas Lights 1 50.00% 1 50.00% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2025-09-14 Las Vegas Lights 0 - 0 FT Miami FC
2024-06-09 Las Vegas Lights 3 - 1 FT Miami FC
2023-04-23 Miami FC 4 - 1 FT Las Vegas Lights
2022-10-09 Las Vegas Lights 3 - 2 FT Miami FC
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 2.75 Betfair
Draw 3.78 Pinnacle
Away win 2.42 Betano
Over 2.5 1.72 Pinnacle
Under 2.5 2.10 10Bet
BTTS Yes 1.62 William Hill
BTTS No 2.27 Betano
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
34' Las Vegas Lights M. Arteaga Goal Assist: C. Pinzon
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· USL Championship 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Tampa Bay Rowdies Play Offs: 1/8-finals 1 19 41 12 5 2 36 19 17 WWWDL
Charleston Battery Play Offs: 1/8-finals 2 19 33 10 3 6 38 24 14 WWLDL
Detroit City Play Offs: 1/8-finals 3 18 31 9 4 5 26 17 9 WDLWW
Louisville City Play Offs: 1/8-finals 4 19 28 8 4 7 33 32 1 DLWLW
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Play Offs: 1/8-finals 5 19 27 8 3 8 20 20 0 DWLLW
Rhode Island Play Offs: 1/8-finals 6 17 25 7 4 6 27 19 8 WLWWL
Miami FC Play Offs: 1/8-finals 7 20 22 5 7 8 24 32 -8 LDLLW
Indy Eleven Play Offs: 1/8-finals 8 17 22 6 4 7 20 21 -1 DLLLL
Hartford Athletic 9 18 21 4 9 5 13 17 -4 DLDLD
Loudoun United 10 18 18 3 9 6 21 30 -9 LWWDD
Birmingham Legion 11 17 17 3 8 6 18 21 -3 WLDLD
Brooklyn 12 17 13 3 4 10 17 32 -15 LLDWL
Sporting JAX 13 19 8 1 5 13 23 51 -28 LLDWD
Orange County SC Play Offs: 1/8-finals 1 19 34 9 7 3 29 22 7 LWWDD
San Antonio Play Offs: 1/8-finals 2 19 32 8 8 3 26 21 5 DWWLD
New Mexico United Play Offs: 1/8-finals 3 16 30 9 3 4 25 17 8 WWWWW
FC Tulsa Play Offs: 1/8-finals 4 18 29 8 5 5 20 17 3 LWWDW
Lexington Play Offs: 1/8-finals 5 18 28 8 4 6 28 22 6 WWDWL
El Paso Locomotive Play Offs: 1/8-finals 6 19 28 8 4 7 29 27 2 WWLWL
Sacramento Republic Play Offs: 1/8-finals 7 18 27 7 6 5 24 16 8 DLWWD
Las Vegas Lights Play Offs: 1/8-finals 8 19 26 7 5 7 26 27 -1 WDDWW
Colorado Springs 9 18 25 7 4 7 28 26 2 LLWWW
Oakland Roots 10 20 22 5 7 8 25 29 -4 LDLLL
Phoenix Rising 11 19 22 5 7 7 24 26 -2 LDDWL
Monterey Bay 12 20 15 4 3 13 21 36 -15 LLLLL