Fredrikstad 0-2 Lillestrom: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Fredrikstad 0-2 Lillestrom: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Eliteserien 🌍 Norway

Sat, Jul 11 2026 · 12:00

Fredrikstad

0 - 2

Lillestrom

🏆 Eliteserien

🌍 Norway

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.25

League avg: 1.40

Both

2.34

League avg: 2.90

Away

1.09

League avg: 1.50

1X2 Probability

Home

32%

ELO-based: 26%

Draw

33%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

35%

ELO-based: 50%

Goal Probability

2.5+

48%

3.5+

28%

BTTS

51%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

1 - 012%

0 - 111%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Lillestrom
		0	1	2	3	4
Fredrikstad	0	9.6%	10.5%	5.7%	2.1%	0.6%
	1	12.0%	13.1%	7.2%	2.6%	0.7%
	2	7.5%	8.2%	4.5%	1.6%	0.4%
	3	3.1%	3.4%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%
	4	1.0%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1557±0

League

1602±0

Away

1669-33

ELO Verdict

Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Fredrikstad	1557	1548	1516	1548	1568	±0
Lillestrom	1669	1655	1614	1860	1667	-33

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Fredrikstad	11	11	14	4	2	5	15	20	LLWDW
Lillestrom	4	11	19	6	1	4	17	11	WLWLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Fredrikstad	5	47%	50%	43%	1.4	1.6
Lillestrom	5	40%	57%	50%	1.6	1.4

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Fredrikstad	1.8	1.0	1.4	1.2	2.3	1.8
Lillestrom	2.2	1.0	1.5	1.2	0.8	1.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Fredrikstad	1.4	1.8	1.8	1.2
Lillestrom	1.5	1.0	1.0	0.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15		17.65%	18.18%	27.27%
16-30	15.38%	11.76%	9.09%	18.18%
31-45	23.08%	5.88%	18.18%	9.09%
46-60		17.65%	18.18%	27.27%
61-75	30.77%	5.88%	18.18%
76-90	30.77%	41.18%	18.18%	18.18%

Team Comparison

54%

Form

46%

47%

Attack

53%

47%

Defense

53%

44%

Poisson

56%

85%

H2H

15%

69%

Goals

31%

58%

Total

42%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Fredrikstad	3-1	2-3	1-2	4-0	3 / 3	2 / 4
Lillestrom	4-0	1-3	0-2	2-0	4 / 3	2 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Fredrikstad	0	0	0	2	0	2
Lillestrom	4	1	3	4	1	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Fredrikstad	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Lillestrom	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-01-31	Lillestrom	2 - 2 FT	Fredrikstad
2025-05-21	Lillestrom	1 - 1 FT	Fredrikstad
2025-03-22	Fredrikstad	1 - 0 FT	Lillestrom
2024-10-20	Fredrikstad	2 - 1 FT	Lillestrom
2024-05-20	Lillestrom	0 - 3 FT	Fredrikstad
2024-01-27	Lillestrom	2 - 1 FT	Fredrikstad

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	3.09	Pinnacle
Draw	3.50	Betfair
Away win	2.42	Betano
Over 2.5	1.80	10Bet
Under 2.5	2.08	SBO
BTTS Yes	1.62	William Hill
BTTS No	2.30	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Fredrikstad	Lillestrom
expected_goals	1.27	1.22
Ball Possession	61%	39%
Total Shots	15	9
Shots on Goal	1	4
Shots off Goal	6	3
Blocked Shots	8	2
Shots insidebox	10	8
Shots outsidebox	5	1
Corner Kicks	8	3
Offsides	4	1
Fouls	7	10
Yellow Cards	3	1
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	2	1
Total passes	624	401
Passes accurate	541	325
Passes %	87%	81%
goals_prevented	0.04	0.04

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+5'	Lillestrom	S. Drammeh	subst	Out: S. Foss
90+5'	Lillestrom	G. Nyheim	subst	Out: H. Woxen
90+1'	Lillestrom	T. Olsen	subst	Out: K. Arierhi
84'	Fredrikstad	M. Nilsson	subst	Out: J. Nysveen
84'	Fredrikstad	O. Ohlenschlaeger	subst	Out: J. Norbye
84'	Fredrikstad	F. Ghebreyohannes	subst	Out: A. Andresen
73'	Lillestrom	T. Olsen	Goal	Assist: Felix Va
73'	Fredrikstad	B. Faraas	subst	Out: J. Nunez
68'	Fredrikstad	S. Laghzaoui	subst	Out: L. Owusu
62'	Lillestrom	G. Nyheim	Goal	Assist: S. Drammeh
61'	Fredrikstad	D. Eid	Card	Yellow Card
60'	Fredrikstad	S. Rafn	Card	Yellow Card
59'	Lillestrom	L. Alperud	subst	Out: Felix Va
59'	Lillestrom	M. Karlsbakk	subst	Out: K. Krygard
43'	Fredrikstad	M. Nilsson	Card	Yellow Card
15'	Lillestrom	M. Karlsbakk	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Eliteserien 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Tromso Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)	1	14	28	8	4	2	22	14	8	WDDLW
Viking Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)	2	11	27	9	0	2	29	11	18	LWWWW
Bodo/Glimt Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	3	12	26	8	2	2	30	11	19	WDWWW
Lillestrom Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)	4	12	22	7	1	4	19	11	8	WLLWL
Molde	5	12	20	6	2	4	20	15	5	DWLWL
Ham-Kam	6	11	18	5	3	3	19	18	1	DDWLW
Sarpsborg 08 FF	7	12	17	5	2	5	14	16	-2	WWWLW
Valerenga	8	13	17	5	2	6	19	22	-3	WLWLW
Brann	9	13	16	5	1	7	26	21	5	WLLLW
Sandefjord	10	12	15	4	3	5	12	15	-3	DLDLW
Fredrikstad	11	12	14	4	2	6	15	22	-7	LWDWL
Rosenborg	12	12	12	3	3	6	12	18	-6	WDLLW
KFUM Oslo	13	12	12	3	3	6	12	19	-7	LDWLL
Aalesund Eliteserien (Relegation)	14	13	12	2	6	5	18	28	-10	LDDDW
Kristiansund BK Relegation - OBOS-ligaen	15	12	11	3	2	7	11	21	-10	LLLWL
Start Relegation - OBOS-ligaen	16	13	7	1	4	8	14	30	-16	LLWLL