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Tromso 4-0 Valerenga: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sat, Jul 11 2026 Β· 16:00
FT
πŸ† Eliteserien
🌍 Norway
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.73
League avg: 1.40
Both
2.69
League avg: 2.60
Away
0.95
League avg: 1.20
1X2 Probability
Home
53%
ELO-based: 47%
Draw
28%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
19%
ELO-based: 29%
Goal Probability
2.5+
50%
3.5+
29%
BTTS
50%
Best Score Tips
1 - 012%
1 - 111%
2 - 010%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Tromso vs Valerenga

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Tromso vs Valerenga.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Valerenga
01234
Tromso 0 6.8% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.8% 11.3% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4%
2 10.2% 9.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4%
3 5.9% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
4 2.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
ELO Overview
Home
1654+2
League
1602Β±0
Away
1566+16
ELO Verdict
Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Tromso16541652158016231669+2
Valerenga15661563146216731467+16
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Tromso113257421814DWLDD
Valerenga811144251317DLWLW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Tromso 5 40% 24% 59% 0.8 1.4
Valerenga 5 47% 47% 53% 1.6 1.6
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Tromso 1.8 0.8 1.4 0.9 1.4 1.1
Valerenga 1.5 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.8 1.5
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Tromso 1.4 1.8 1.1 0.9
Valerenga 1.2 0.8 1.5 1.8
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 16.67% 25.00% 22.22%
16-30 16.67% 16.67% 21.43% 11.11%
31-45 5.56% 8.33% 14.29% 16.67%
46-60 27.78% 16.67% 21.43% 22.22%
61-75 16.67% 25.00% 21.43%
76-90 16.67% 8.33% 21.43% 27.78%
Team Comparison
46%
Form
54%
33%
Attack
67%
53%
Defense
47%
74%
Poisson
26%
4%
H2H
6%
5%
Goals
5%
49%
Total
51%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Tromso 4-0 1-2 0-5 5-0 4 / 2 5 / 5
Valerenga 3-1 0-2 0-2 5-1 3 / 2 2 / 5
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Tromso 7 5 2 4 2 2
Valerenga 2 1 1 4 2 2
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Tromso 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Valerenga 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2025-10-04 Valerenga 1 - 0 FT Tromso
2025-05-31 Tromso 2 - 1 FT Valerenga
2025-03-15 Valerenga 1 - 4 FT Tromso
2024-05-01 Valerenga 1 - 0 FT Tromso
2024-03-17 Valerenga 3 - 1 FT Tromso
2023-12-03 Valerenga 1 - 1 FT Tromso
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.78 Pinnacle
Draw 3.93 Pinnacle
Away win 4.61 1xBet
Over 2.5 1.80 Betfair
Under 2.5 2.10 10Bet
BTTS Yes 1.73 Betfair
BTTS No 2.10 10Bet
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Stats
StatTromsoValerenga
expected_goals 1.39 0.78
Ball Possession 38% 62%
Total Shots 13 18
Shots on Goal 8 3
Shots off Goal 4 6
Blocked Shots 1 9
Shots insidebox 7 12
Shots outsidebox 6 6
Corner Kicks 4 7
Offsides 1 2
Fouls 10 10
Yellow Cards 1 1
Red Cards β€” β€”
Goalkeeper Saves 3 4
Total passes 407 639
Passes accurate 328 556
Passes % 81% 87%
goals_prevented -1.55 -1.55
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
86' Valerenga S. Jarl Card Yellow Card
82' Valerenga M. Grundetjern subst Out: G. Rajkovic
82' Valerenga H. Sjatil subst Out: S. Jarl
81' Tromso L. O. Larsen subst Out: J. Grundt
80' Tromso T. Nyhammer Goal Assist: D. Edvardsson
75' Tromso S. Innvaer subst Out: M. Tonnessen
75' Tromso J. Hjerto-Dahl subst Out: S. Prestmo
74' Tromso D. Edvardsson Card Yellow Card
73' Valerenga I. Nasberg subst Out: K. Tshiembe
72' Valerenga P. Strand subst Out: L. Haren
67' Tromso H. Larsen subst Out: D. Braut
67' Tromso R. Jenssen subst Out: T. Nyhammer
60' Valerenga M. Westergaard subst Out: M. Ofkir
45+2' Tromso H. Larsen Goal Assist: L. Cornic
22' Tromso J. Hjerto-Dahl Goal Assist: V. Skjaervik
12' Tromso H. Larsen Goal Assist: R. Jenssen
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Eliteserien 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Tromso Promotion - Champions League (Qualification) 1 14 28 8 4 2 22 14 8 WDDLW
Viking Promotion - Champions League (Qualification) 2 11 27 9 0 2 29 11 18 LWWWW
Bodo/Glimt Promotion - Conference League (Qualification) 3 12 26 8 2 2 30 11 19 WDWWW
Lillestrom Promotion - Europa League (Qualification) 4 12 22 7 1 4 19 11 8 WLLWL
Molde 5 12 20 6 2 4 20 15 5 DWLWL
Ham-Kam 6 11 18 5 3 3 19 18 1 DDWLW
Sarpsborg 08 FF 7 12 17 5 2 5 14 16 -2 WWWLW
Valerenga 8 13 17 5 2 6 19 22 -3 WLWLW
Brann 9 13 16 5 1 7 26 21 5 WLLLW
Sandefjord 10 12 15 4 3 5 12 15 -3 DLDLW
Fredrikstad 11 12 14 4 2 6 15 22 -7 LWDWL
Rosenborg 12 12 12 3 3 6 12 18 -6 WDLLW
KFUM Oslo 13 12 12 3 3 6 12 19 -7 LDWLL
Aalesund Eliteserien (Relegation) 14 13 12 2 6 5 18 28 -10 LDDDW
Kristiansund BK Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 15 12 11 3 2 7 11 21 -10 LLLWL
Start Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 16 13 7 1 4 8 14 30 -16 LLWLL