Ham-Kam 1-1 Aalesund: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Ham-Kam 1-1 Aalesund: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Eliteserien 🌍 Norway

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 15:00

Ham-Kam

1 - 1

Aalesund

🏆 Eliteserien

🌍 Norway

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.06

League avg: 1.50

Both

3.41

League avg: 2.90

Away

1.35

League avg: 1.40

1X2 Probability

Home

51%

ELO-based: 38%

Draw

25%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

24%

ELO-based: 38%

Goal Probability

2.5+

60%

3.5+

37%

BTTS

59%

Best Score Tips

2 - 110%

1 - 19%

2 - 07%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Ham-Kam vs Aalesund

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Ham-Kam vs Aalesund.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Aalesund
		0	1	2	3	4
Ham-Kam	0	3.3%	4.5%	3.0%	1.3%	0.5%
	1	6.8%	9.2%	6.2%	2.8%	0.9%
	2	7.0%	9.5%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
	3	4.8%	6.5%	4.4%	2.0%	0.7%
	4	2.5%	3.4%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%

ELO Overview

Home

1578-12

League

1603±0

Away

1576-28

ELO Verdict

Draw edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Ham-Kam	1578	1580	1537	1620	1579	-12
Aalesund	1576	1567	1544	1713	1477	-28

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Ham-Kam	9	15	21	6	3	6	23	26	DLLLW
Aalesund	15	15	13	2	7	6	21	35	DDLDL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Ham-Kam	5	27%	46%	23%	1.2	2.0
Aalesund	5	20%	62%	0%	1.6	3.4

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Ham-Kam	1.9	1.3	1.5	1.6	1.9	1.7
Aalesund	1.7	1.0	1.4	2.3	2.3	2.3

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Ham-Kam	1.5	1.9	1.7	1.6
Aalesund	1.4	1.0	2.3	2.3

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	3.85%	13.64%	13.04%	11.76%
16-30	11.54%	13.64%	13.04%	11.76%
31-45	26.92%	4.55%	17.39%	23.53%
46-60	15.38%	31.82%	34.78%	14.71%
61-75	11.54%	4.55%	8.70%	17.65%
76-90	30.77%	31.82%	13.04%	20.59%

Team Comparison

57%

Form

43%

Attack

57%

63%

Defense

37%

67%

Poisson

33%

62%

H2H

38%

53%

Goals

47%

58%

Total

43%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Ham-Kam	4-0	0-3	1-5	4-1	4 / 3	5 / 4
Aalesund	2-1	2-3	2-6	6-1	2 / 3	6 / 6

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Ham-Kam	4	3	1	2	0	2
Aalesund	0	0	0	2	0	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Ham-Kam	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Aalesund	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-29	Aalesund	2 - 2 FT	Ham-Kam
2025-05-20	Aalesund	2 - 2 FT	Ham-Kam
2023-08-13	Aalesund	0 - 2 FT	Ham-Kam
2023-07-07	Ham-Kam	2 - 1 FT	Aalesund
2023-03-17	Aalesund	3 - 1 FT	Ham-Kam
2022-10-16	Aalesund	0 - 0 FT	Ham-Kam

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.17	Unibet
Draw	3.90	Betfair
Away win	3.29	Pinnacle
Over 2.5	1.61	Pinnacle
Under 2.5	2.55	Betfair
BTTS Yes	1.50	William Hill
BTTS No	2.63	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Ham-Kam	Aalesund
expected_goals	1.67	0.63
Ball Possession	59%	41%
Total Shots	12	10
Shots on Goal	6	2
Shots off Goal	4	4
Blocked Shots	2	4
Shots insidebox	9	7
Shots outsidebox	3	3
Corner Kicks	8	4
Offsides	1	2
Fouls	10	11
Yellow Cards	2	1
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	1	5
Total passes	493	342
Passes accurate	411	246
Passes %	83%	72%
goals_prevented	0.97	0.97

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90'	Ham-Kam	P. Metcalfe	subst	Out: S. Nilsen
90'	Ham-Kam	V. Jonsson	subst	Out: D. Al Saed
89'	Ham-Kam	A. Trondsen	Card	Yellow Card
78'	Ham-Kam	B. Isufi	subst	Out: W. Osnes-Ringen
78'	Aalesund	K. Lonebu	subst	Out: I. Djantou
78'	Aalesund	E. Osenbroch	subst	Out: E. Myrlid
56'	Ham-Kam	F. Sjolstad	subst	Out: A. Trondsen
56'	Ham-Kam	D. Benjamin	subst	Out: H. Udahl
55'	Ham-Kam	M. Gjone	Goal	Assist: P. Metcalfe
54'	Aalesund	M. Reed	subst	Out: H. Hammer
45+1'	Aalesund	E. Osenbroch	Goal	Assist: M. Christensen
28'	Aalesund	S. Haram	Card	Yellow Card
24'	Aalesund	P. Aukland	subst	Out: E. Engqvist
20'	Ham-Kam	D. Benjamin	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Eliteserien 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Bodo/Glimt Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)	1	17	41	13	2	2	43	12	31	WWWWW
Viking Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)	2	17	40	13	1	3	40	17	23	LWWDW
Tromso Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	3	16	34	10	4	2	32	17	15	WWWDD
Lillestrom Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)	4	17	26	8	2	7	23	21	2	DLLLW
Molde	5	16	24	7	3	6	29	24	5	LDWLD
Rosenborg	6	17	24	7	3	7	25	22	3	WWLWW
Brann	7	16	22	7	1	8	33	27	6	WLWWL
Sarpsborg 08 FF	8	16	22	6	4	6	19	21	-2	LDWDW
Ham-Kam	9	16	22	6	4	6	24	27	-3	DWLLL
Valerenga	10	16	20	6	2	8	23	29	-6	LLWWL
Fredrikstad	11	16	20	6	2	8	17	27	-10	WWLLL
KFUM Oslo	12	17	19	5	4	8	19	27	-8	DWWLL
Sandefjord	13	16	15	4	3	9	13	22	-9	LLLLD
Kristiansund BK Eliteserien (Relegation)	14	16	15	4	3	9	15	26	-11	WLLDL
Aalesund Relegation - OBOS-ligaen	15	16	14	2	8	6	22	36	-14	DLDLD
Start Relegation - OBOS-ligaen	16	17	10	2	4	11	16	38	-22	LLWLL