Lillestrom 0-2 Rosenborg: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Lillestrom 0-2 Rosenborg: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Eliteserien 🌍 Norway

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 12:30

Lillestrom

0 - 2

Rosenborg

🏆 Eliteserien

🌍 Norway

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.80

League avg: 1.50

Both

2.85

League avg: 2.90

Away

1.05

League avg: 1.40

1X2 Probability

Home

52%

ELO-based: 49%

Draw

27%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

21%

ELO-based: 27%

Goal Probability

2.5+

52%

3.5+

31%

BTTS

51%

Best Score Tips

1 - 111%

1 - 010%

2 - 110%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Lillestrom vs Rosenborg

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Lillestrom vs Rosenborg.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Rosenborg
		0	1	2	3	4
Lillestrom	0	5.8%	6.1%	3.2%	1.1%	0.3%
	1	10.4%	11.0%	5.8%	2.0%	0.5%
	2	9.3%	9.8%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
	3	5.6%	5.9%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
	4	2.5%	2.6%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1657-16

League

1601±0

Away

1555+37

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Lillestrom	1657	1635	1585	1835	1649	-16
Rosenborg	1555	1569	1486	1632	1565	+37

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Lillestrom	4	15	25	8	1	6	22	18	LWWLL
Rosenborg	11	15	18	5	3	7	21	21	DWWWL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Lillestrom	5	40%	22%	61%	1.0	1.8
Rosenborg	5	67%	61%	78%	2.8	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Lillestrom	2.0	1.0	1.5	1.3	1.1	1.2
Rosenborg	2.0	0.7	1.4	1.1	1.7	1.4

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Lillestrom	1.5	2.0	1.2	1.3
Rosenborg	1.4	0.7	1.4	1.7

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	17.39%	23.81%	23.53%	23.81%
16-30	8.70%	9.52%	23.53%	19.05%
31-45	4.35%	19.05%	11.76%	9.52%
46-60	13.04%	9.52%	23.53%	19.05%
61-75	17.39%	14.29%	5.88%	19.05%
76-90	39.13%	23.81%	11.76%	9.52%

Team Comparison

38%

Form

63%

26%

Attack

74%

36%

Defense

64%

73%

Poisson

27%

H2H

43%

Goals

57%

44%

Total

56%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Lillestrom	4-0	1-3	0-2	4-0	4 / 3	2 / 4
Rosenborg	4-0	0-3	0-2	3-0	4 / 3	3 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Lillestrom	5	1	4	5	1	4
Rosenborg	5	3	2	6	1	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Lillestrom	2	66.67%	1	33.33%	—	—
Rosenborg	3	75.00%	1	25.00%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-10	Rosenborg	2 - 0 FT	Lillestrom
2024-09-15	Lillestrom	1 - 1 FT	Rosenborg
2024-08-21	Rosenborg	4 - 0 FT	Lillestrom
2023-09-24	Lillestrom	3 - 0 FT	Rosenborg
2023-07-09	Rosenborg	1 - 2 FT	Lillestrom
2022-09-18	Rosenborg	3 - 1 FT	Lillestrom

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.39	Pinnacle
Draw	3.70	Betfair
Away win	2.88	Pinnacle
Over 2.5	1.64	Unibet
Under 2.5	2.38	Betfair
BTTS Yes	1.55	William Hill
BTTS No	2.55	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Lillestrom	Rosenborg
expected_goals	2.51	2.28
Ball Possession	55%	45%
Total Shots	18	15
Shots on Goal	4	7
Shots off Goal	4	7
Blocked Shots	10	1
Shots insidebox	15	14
Shots outsidebox	3	1
Corner Kicks	8	6
Offsides	1	1
Fouls	16	26
Yellow Cards	1	6
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	7	4
Total passes	448	365
Passes accurate	343	276
Passes %	77%	76%
goals_prevented	0.94	0.94

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+6'	Rosenborg	M. Bomholt	Card	Yellow Card
90+4'	Lillestrom	H. Woxen	Card	Yellow Card
90'	Rosenborg	A. Chiakha	Goal	Assist: M. Bomholt
88'	Rosenborg	E. K. Ceide	subst	Out: J. Reitan-Sunde
84'	Rosenborg	T. Dahl	Card	Yellow Card
74'	Rosenborg	T. Nemcik	Card	Yellow Card
74'	Lillestrom	K. Krygard	subst	Out: H. Woxen
74'	Lillestrom	L. Alperud	subst	Out: G. Nordh
71'	Rosenborg	A. Pereira	subst	Out: T. Dahl
69'	Rosenborg	D. Duris	Card	Yellow Card
62'	Lillestrom	T. Olsen	subst	Out: F. Gulbrandsen
62'	Rosenborg	A. Chiakha	Card	Yellow Card
61'	Rosenborg	N. Sahsah	subst	Out: J. Mortensen
46'	Rosenborg	J. Svensson	subst	Out: A. F. Witry
39'	Rosenborg	N. Sahsah	Goal	Assist: A. Chiakha
24'	Rosenborg	J. Svensson	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Eliteserien 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Bodo/Glimt Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)	1	17	41	13	2	2	43	12	31	WWWWW
Viking Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)	2	16	40	13	1	2	39	15	24	WWDWW
Tromso Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	3	16	34	10	4	2	32	17	15	WWWDD
Lillestrom Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)	4	15	25	8	1	6	22	18	4	LLWWL
Molde	5	15	24	7	3	5	28	22	6	DWLDW
Brann	6	16	22	7	1	8	33	27	6	WLWWL
Sarpsborg 08 FF	7	16	22	6	4	6	19	21	-2	LDWDW
Ham-Kam	8	15	21	6	3	6	23	26	-3	WLLLD
Valerenga	9	16	20	6	2	8	23	29	-6	LLWWL
Fredrikstad	10	16	20	6	2	8	17	27	-10	WWLLL
Rosenborg	11	15	18	5	3	7	21	21	0	LWWWD
KFUM Oslo	12	16	18	5	3	8	18	26	-8	WWLLL
Sandefjord	13	16	15	4	3	9	13	22	-9	LLLLD
Aalesund Eliteserien (Relegation)	14	15	13	2	7	6	21	35	-14	LDLDD
Kristiansund BK Relegation - OBOS-ligaen	15	15	12	3	3	9	13	25	-12	LLDLL
Start Relegation - OBOS-ligaen	16	17	10	2	4	11	16	38	-22	LLWLL