Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.05) 0.71 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.7% 41.8% 36.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.6%
0 - 1
21.7%
1 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Mitre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Central Norte 0 30.6% 21.7% 7.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.6% 10.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCentral NorteAtletico Mitre
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack15%31%
Defense77%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

37%
FT probability

2.5+

26%
FT probability

3.5+

19%
FT probability

BTTS

40%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Central Norte Atletico Mitre
HATHAT
Played257347
Wins50%20%29%33%0%14%
Draws50%20%29%33%75%57%
Loses0%60%43%33%25%29%

Form: Central Norte: LDLDWWL • Atletico Mitre: LWDDDDL

League goals

Metric Central Norte Atletico Mitre
HATHAT
GF total112336
GF avg0.50.20.31.00.80.9
GA total044448
GA avg0.00.80.61.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCentral NorteAtletico Mitre
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.529%43%71%57%
1.50%14%14%43%
2.50%0%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCentral NorteAtletico Mitre
HATHAT
Clean sheets224123
Failed to score145022

Penalties

MetricCentral NorteAtletico Mitre
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCentral NorteAtletico Mitre
Wins21
Draws14
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-11-0—
Biggest losses—2-01-32-1
Goals For1112
Goals Against0232

Model comparison

MetricCentral NorteAtletico Mitre
Form64%36%
Att33%67%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h64%36%
Goals57%43%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Central Norte or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Bet365
Draw2.76 @ 188Bet
Away3.35 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.55 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Central Norte = 0.48 (league 1.05), Atletico Mitre = 0.71 (league 0.68)

Atletico Mitre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Central Norte 0 30.6% 21.7% 7.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.6% 10.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.7% · Draw 41.8% · Away win 36.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1