Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 19:00 •
Estadio Abel Sastre
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.05)
0.51 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.6% | 38.9% | 21.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.7%
1 - 0
21.6%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Almirante Brown | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportivo Madryn | 0 | 26.7% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Deportivo Madryn | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 70% | 20% |
| Defense | 70% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Deportivo Madryn | Almirante Brown | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 25% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Draws | 67% | 25% | 43% | 0% | 50% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 29% | 67% | 25% | 43% |
Form: Deportivo Madryn: LDDLWDW • Almirante Brown: DWWLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Deportivo Madryn | Almirante Brown | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Deportivo Madryn | Almirante Brown | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 43% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 14% | 14% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Deportivo Madryn | Almirante Brown | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Deportivo Madryn | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Deportivo Madryn | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Deportivo Madryn | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 89% | 11% |
| Total | 72.4% | 27.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Deportivo Madryn or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.99 @ Dafabet
Draw3.00 @ Pinnacle
Away5.25 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.60 @ BetVictor
Under 2.51.30 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes3.00 @ Bet365
No1.44 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Deportivo Madryn
vs
Almirante Brown
Expected goals
0.81
Deportivo Madryn xG
League Avg: 1.05
Total
1.32
0.51
Almirante Brown xG
League Avg: 0.68
1x2 probabilities
Home
39.6%
Draw
38.9%
Away
21.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
26.7%
Tip
1 - 0
21.6%
Tip
0 - 1
13.7%
More chances
1.5+
51%
Chance
2.5+
36%
Chance
3.5+
25%
Chance
BTTS
56%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Madryn = 0.81 (league 1.05), Almirante Brown = 0.51 (league 0.68)
| Almirante Brown | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportivo Madryn | 0 | 26.7% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 38.9% · Away win 21.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1