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San Miguel vs Ferro Carril Oeste Prediction, Odds & Stats | Primera Nacional

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🏆 Primera Nacional 🌍 Argentina

Sat, Jul 11 2026 · 18:00

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San Miguel

NS

Ferro Carril Oeste

🏆 Primera Nacional

🌍 Argentina

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.85

League avg: 0.90

Both

1.81

League avg: 2.10

Away

0.96

League avg: 1.20

1X2 Probability

Home

21%

ELO-based: 26%

Draw

30%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

49%

ELO-based: 50%

Goal Probability

2.5+

38%

3.5+

21%

BTTS

44%

Best Score Tips

0 - 016%

0 - 116%

1 - 014%

FT Score Probability Grid

		Ferro Carril Oeste
		0	1	2	3	4
San Miguel	0	16.3%	15.7%	7.6%	2.4%	0.6%
	1	13.9%	13.4%	6.4%	2.1%	0.5%
	2	5.9%	5.7%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
	3	1.7%	1.6%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%
	4	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1466+28

League

1502±0

Away

1577+31

ELO Verdict

Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
San Miguel	1466	1478	1502	1382	1497	+28
Ferro Carril Oeste	1577	1616	1526	1462	1579	+31

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
San Miguel	10	19	25	5	10	4	17	20	DDDWD
Ferro Carril Oeste	1	19	37	11	4	4	22	14	DWWWW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
San Miguel	5	47%	67%	56%	1.2	0.8
Ferro Carril Oeste	5	87%	78%	67%	1.4	0.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
San Miguel	1.0	0.8	0.9	0.8	1.3	1.1
Ferro Carril Oeste	1.0	1.3	1.2	0.9	0.6	0.7

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
San Miguel	0.9	1.0	1.1	0.8
Ferro Carril Oeste	1.2	1.3	0.7	0.6

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	12.50%	4.55%	28.57%	21.43%
16-30	12.50%	9.09%	9.52%
31-45	18.75%	9.09%	4.76%	35.71%
46-60	25.00%	22.73%	14.29%	14.29%
61-75	18.75%	18.18%	4.76%	28.57%
76-90	12.50%	36.36%	38.10%

Team Comparison

35%

Form

65%

46%

Attack

54%

43%

Defense

57%

28%

Poisson

72%

62%

H2H

38%

67%

Goals

33%

47%

Total

53%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
San Miguel	2-0	0-2	0-2	4-0	2 / 2	2 / 4
Ferro Carril Oeste	2-1	2-4	0-2	2-1	2 / 4	2 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
San Miguel	7	4	3	6	2	4
Ferro Carril Oeste	8	2	6	5	3	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
San Miguel	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Ferro Carril Oeste	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-02-21	Ferro Carril Oeste	1 - 1 FT	San Miguel
2025-09-14	Ferro Carril Oeste	0 - 1 FT	San Miguel
2025-05-10	San Miguel	2 - 0 FT	Ferro Carril Oeste
2024-10-12	San Miguel	0 - 0 FT	Ferro Carril Oeste
2024-05-26	Ferro Carril Oeste	1 - 0 FT	San Miguel

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.