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Atletico DE Rafaela 1-0 Chacarita Juniors: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sat, Aug 8 2026 Β· 19:00
FT
🌍 Argentina
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.18
League avg: 0.70
Both
1.77
League avg: 1.50
Away
0.59
League avg: 0.80
1X2 Probability
Home
52%
ELO-based: 48%
Draw
31%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
17%
ELO-based: 28%
Goal Probability
2.5+
36%
3.5+
19%
BTTS
42%
Best Score Tips
1 - 020%
0 - 017%
2 - 012%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Atletico DE Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Chacarita Juniors
01234
Atletico DE Rafaela 0 17.0% 10.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 20.2% 11.8% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 11.9% 7.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1559-1
League
1502Β±0
Away
1467-8
ELO Verdict
Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Atletico DE Rafaela15591547159114061636-1
Chacarita Juniors14671459148314191549-8
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Atletico DE Rafaela823318781719LLLWD
Chacarita Juniors16222675101823DWDLW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Atletico DE Rafaela 5 27% 27% 36% 0.6 1.4
Chacarita Juniors 5 53% 36% 73% 0.8 0.6
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Atletico DE Rafaela 1.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 1.1 0.8
Chacarita Juniors 1.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 1.4 1.0
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Atletico DE Rafaela 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.5
Chacarita Juniors 0.8 0.5 1.0 1.4
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 6.25% 5.26% 15.00% 4.55%
16-30 12.50% 15.79% 5.00% 18.18%
31-45 6.25% 21.05% 20.00% 9.09%
46-60 31.25% 15.79% 10.00% 22.73%
61-75 25.00% 26.32% 15.00% 18.18%
76-90 18.75% 15.79% 35.00% 27.27%
Team Comparison
33%
Form
67%
43%
Attack
57%
3%
Defense
7%
77%
Poisson
23%
38%
H2H
62%
3%
Goals
7%
42%
Total
58%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Atletico DE Rafaela 4-1 0-1 1-3 2-0 4 / 1 3 / 2
Chacarita Juniors 3-1 0-1 0-3 2-0 3 / 2 3 / 3
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Atletico DE Rafaela 12 8 4 9 2 7
Chacarita Juniors 7 5 2 10 4 6
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Atletico DE Rafaela 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Chacarita Juniors 1 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-03-22 Chacarita Juniors 0 - 1 FT Atletico DE Rafaela
2023-10-15 Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 1 FT Chacarita Juniors
2023-06-02 Chacarita Juniors 3 - 0 FT Atletico DE Rafaela
2022-07-23 Chacarita Juniors 3 - 1 FT Atletico DE Rafaela
2020-05-16 Chacarita Juniors β€” Atletico DE Rafaela
2019-12-03 Atletico DE Rafaela 2 - 0 FT Chacarita Juniors
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 2.28 Pinnacle
Draw 2.90 Unibet
Away win 3.90 Bet365
Over 2.5 3.40 Bet365
Under 2.5 1.37 Unibet
BTTS Yes 2.50 Bet365
BTTS No 1.60 Betfair
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
78' Chacarita Juniors L. Perdomo subst Out: E. Gerez
78' Chacarita Juniors A. Maldonado subst Out: M. Barrios
77' Atletico DE Rafaela A. Obando subst Out: I. Protti
71' Atletico DE Rafaela F. Jourdan subst Out: M. Pardo
71' Atletico DE Rafaela M. Quiroga subst Out: A. Rodriguez
61' Atletico DE Rafaela J. Cavallaro subst Out: M. Morello
61' Chacarita Juniors M. Cuero subst Out: L. Brun
61' Chacarita Juniors B. Calderara subst Out: M. Sanabria
57' Atletico DE Rafaela A. Solveyra Card Yellow Card
46' Chacarita Juniors D. Duran subst Out: L. Bustos
19' Chacarita Juniors F. Losas Card Yellow Card
17' Atletico DE Rafaela L. Albertengo Goal Assist: M. Quiroga
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Primera Nacional 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Ferro Carril Oeste Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final) 1 25 49 15 4 6 31 23 8 WWLLW
Deportivo Moron Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 2 24 44 13 5 6 39 22 17 WWLWD
Colon Santa Fe Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 3 25 42 11 9 5 32 19 13 WWDLL
Almirante Brown Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 4 24 38 10 8 6 19 13 6 WWDDD
Godoy Cruz Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 5 24 37 10 7 7 28 22 6 LWWWW
Deportivo Madryn Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 6 23 36 9 9 5 30 22 8 WWDDL
CA Estudiantes Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 7 25 35 9 8 8 22 20 2 WLDLD
Ciudad de BolΓ­var Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 8 25 34 8 10 7 21 22 -1 LLLWD
Los Andes 9 23 33 8 9 6 20 11 9 LLDWL
Racing Cordoba 10 24 30 8 6 10 23 28 -5 WLWLW
Atletico Mitre 11 25 29 6 11 8 25 29 -4 DWWDW
San Miguel 12 24 29 6 11 7 19 23 -4 WLLDL
Defensores De Belgrano 13 24 26 5 11 8 16 21 -5 DLDDL
All Boys 14 24 24 4 12 8 14 23 -9 DLDDD
San Telmo 15 24 23 5 8 11 18 27 -9 LLWLL
Central Norte 16 23 23 5 8 10 15 24 -9 DWLLD
Chaco For Ever Relegation 17 23 22 5 7 11 21 28 -7 LWWWD
Acassuso Relegation 18 24 22 5 7 12 18 29 -11 DLDDL
Tristan Suarez Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final) 1 23 42 11 9 3 23 12 11 WWWWL
Gimnasia Jujuy Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 2 24 41 12 5 7 35 29 6 LLLWD
Atlanta Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 3 24 39 12 3 9 30 25 5 LWLLW
Midland Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 4 24 38 10 8 6 26 17 9 DWDWW
Gimnasia Y Tiro Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 5 24 37 10 7 7 26 22 4 WWWWD
Temperley Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 6 24 37 9 10 5 24 21 3 LLWWD
Deportivo Maipu Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 7 25 35 10 5 10 33 27 6 WLWLD
Atletico DE Rafaela Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 8 25 35 9 8 8 18 19 -1 DWDWL
Quilmes 9 25 32 8 8 9 27 21 6 WDWDL
San Martin Tucuman 10 24 31 7 10 7 22 20 2 DLLDW
Colegiales 11 24 30 8 6 10 23 25 -2 LDWWL
Almagro 12 25 30 8 6 11 21 29 -8 LDLDW
Nueva Chicago 13 23 29 7 8 8 20 22 -2 LWLDL
Agropecuario 14 25 29 7 8 10 22 28 -6 WWLWD
San Martin S.J. 15 22 28 7 7 8 23 23 0 DDLWL
Chacarita Juniors 16 24 26 7 5 12 18 26 -8 LLWLD
Patronato Relegation 17 24 24 4 12 8 18 26 -8 LDDLD
Club AtlΓ©tico GΓΌemes Relegation 18 24 20 5 5 14 21 43 -22 DLLLL