Deportivo Moron 4-1 Acassuso: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Deportivo Moron 4-1 Acassuso: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Primera Nacional 🌍 Argentina

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 18:00

Deportivo Moron

4 - 1

Acassuso

🏆 Primera Nacional

🌍 Argentina

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.45

League avg: 1.50

Both

2.12

League avg: 2.20

Away

0.67

League avg: 0.70

1X2 Probability

Home

60%

ELO-based: 53%

Draw

25%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

15%

ELO-based: 23%

Goal Probability

2.5+

42%

3.5+

23%

BTTS

44%

Best Score Tips

1 - 017%

2 - 013%

0 - 012%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Deportivo Moron vs Acassuso

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Deportivo Moron vs Acassuso.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Acassuso
		0	1	2	3	4
Deportivo Moron	0	12.0%	8.0%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	17.4%	11.6%	3.9%	0.9%	0.1%
	2	12.7%	8.4%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
	3	6.1%	4.1%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	2.2%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1587+10

League

1502±0

Away

1445-13

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Deportivo Moron	1587	1593	1590	1557	1632	+10
Acassuso	1445	1434	1478	1424	1483	-13

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Deportivo Moron	2	22	38	11	5	6	33	21	LLDWL
Acassuso	18	22	21	5	6	11	16	24	LDLDD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Deportivo Moron	5	27%	78%	22%	1.4	1.4
Acassuso	5	20%	44%	22%	0.8	1.4

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Deportivo Moron	1.8	1.2	1.5	0.5	1.4	1.0
Acassuso	0.9	0.6	0.7	0.9	1.3	1.1

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Deportivo Moron	1.5	1.8	1.0	0.5
Acassuso	0.7	0.6	1.1	1.3

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	6.06%	11.76%	14.29%	17.39%
16-30	12.12%	5.88%	9.52%	8.70%
31-45	21.21%	29.41%	14.29%	8.70%
46-60	30.30%	17.65%	28.57%	21.74%
61-75	18.18%	11.76%	14.29%	21.74%
76-90	12.12%	23.53%	19.05%	21.74%

Team Comparison

57%

Form

43%

64%

Attack

36%

Defense

82%

Poisson

18%

71%

H2H

29%

71%

Goals

29%

66%

Total

34%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Deportivo Moron	4-0	0-3		2-0	4 / 3	2 / 2
Acassuso	3-0	2-3	0-3	2-0	3 / 3	3 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Deportivo Moron	8	7	1	5	1	4
Acassuso	7	4	3	13	5	8

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Deportivo Moron	5	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Acassuso	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-03-21	Acassuso	0 - 3 FT	Deportivo Moron
2017-04-02	Acassuso	2 - 4 FT	Deportivo Moron
2016-09-16	Deportivo Moron	2 - 0 FT	Acassuso
2015-07-26	Deportivo Moron	0 - 0 FT	Acassuso
2015-03-14	Acassuso	2 - 1 FT	Deportivo Moron
2014-11-05	Deportivo Moron	0 - 1 FT	Acassuso

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.57	Bet365
Draw	3.67	Pinnacle
Away win	8.00	10Bet
Over 2.5	2.60	Bet365
Under 2.5	1.52	Unibet
BTTS Yes	2.67	Superbet
BTTS No	1.50	Unibet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+1'	Acassuso	M. Monllor	Card	Yellow Card
90'	Deportivo Moron	F. Toloza	Goal	Penalty
89'	Acassuso	R. Etcheverri	Card	Yellow Card
88'	Acassuso	L. Pioli	Card	Red Card
85'	Deportivo Moron	F. Fagundez	subst	Out: G. Gonzalez
82'	Deportivo Moron	B. Salvareschi	Card	Yellow Card
81'	Acassuso	M. Monaco	Card	Yellow Card
77'	Deportivo Moron	S. Kubiszyn	subst	Out: E. Contreras
77'	Deportivo Moron	E. Iniguez	subst	Out: E. Franco
77'	Acassuso	K. Dubini	subst	Out: F. Senn
75'	Deportivo Moron	J. Livera	Card	Yellow Card
66'	Deportivo Moron	M. Levato	subst	Out: G. Berterame
66'	Deportivo Moron	M. Bittolo	subst	Out: F. Toloza
66'	Acassuso	L. Rey	subst	Out: L. Romero
63'	Acassuso	B. Dordoni	Card	Yellow Card
46'	Acassuso	R. Reynoso	subst	Out: J. Raccio
46'	Acassuso	D. N. Bellatti S.	subst	Out: A. Ruiz
46'	Acassuso	N. Acosta	subst	Out: M. Monaco
42'	Acassuso	N. Acosta	Card	Yellow Card
37'	Deportivo Moron	F. Fagundez	Goal	Assist: S. Kubiszyn
36'	Acassuso	T. Rodriguez	Goal	Assist: K. Dubini
24'	Deportivo Moron	E. Iniguez	Goal	Assist: F. Fagundez
20'	Deportivo Moron	S. Kubiszyn	Card	Yellow Card
17'	Deportivo Moron	F. Fagundez	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Primera Nacional 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Ferro Carril Oeste Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)	1	25	49	15	4	6	31	23	8	WWLLW
Deportivo Moron Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	2	24	44	13	5	6	39	22	17	WWLWD
Colon Santa Fe Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	3	25	42	11	9	5	32	19	13	WWDLL
Almirante Brown Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	4	24	38	10	8	6	19	13	6	WWDDD
Godoy Cruz Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	5	24	37	10	7	7	28	22	6	LWWWW
Deportivo Madryn Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	6	23	36	9	9	5	30	22	8	WWDDL
CA Estudiantes Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	7	25	35	9	8	8	22	20	2	WLDLD
Ciudad de Bolívar Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	8	25	34	8	10	7	21	22	-1	LLLWD
Los Andes	9	23	33	8	9	6	20	11	9	LLDWL
Racing Cordoba	10	24	30	8	6	10	23	28	-5	WLWLW
Atletico Mitre	11	25	29	6	11	8	25	29	-4	DWWDW
San Miguel	12	24	29	6	11	7	19	23	-4	WLLDL
Defensores De Belgrano	13	24	26	5	11	8	16	21	-5	DLDDL
All Boys	14	24	24	4	12	8	14	23	-9	DLDDD
San Telmo	15	24	23	5	8	11	18	27	-9	LLWLL
Central Norte	16	23	23	5	8	10	15	24	-9	DWLLD
Chaco For Ever Relegation	17	23	22	5	7	11	21	28	-7	LWWWD
Acassuso Relegation	18	24	22	5	7	12	18	29	-11	DLDDL
Tristan Suarez Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)	1	23	42	11	9	3	23	12	11	WWWWL
Gimnasia Jujuy Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	2	24	41	12	5	7	35	29	6	LLLWD
Atlanta Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	3	24	39	12	3	9	30	25	5	LWLLW
Midland Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	4	24	38	10	8	6	26	17	9	DWDWW
Gimnasia Y Tiro Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	5	24	37	10	7	7	26	22	4	WWWWD
Temperley Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	6	24	37	9	10	5	24	21	3	LLWWD
Deportivo Maipu Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	7	25	35	10	5	10	33	27	6	WLWLD
Atletico DE Rafaela Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	8	25	35	9	8	8	18	19	-1	DWDWL
Quilmes	9	25	32	8	8	9	27	21	6	WDWDL
San Martin Tucuman	10	24	31	7	10	7	22	20	2	DLLDW
Colegiales	11	24	30	8	6	10	23	25	-2	LDWWL
Almagro	12	25	30	8	6	11	21	29	-8	LDLDW
Nueva Chicago	13	23	29	7	8	8	20	22	-2	LWLDL
Agropecuario	14	25	29	7	8	10	22	28	-6	WWLWD
San Martin S.J.	15	22	28	7	7	8	23	23	0	DDLWL
Chacarita Juniors	16	24	26	7	5	12	18	26	-8	LLWLD
Patronato Relegation	17	24	24	4	12	8	18	26	-8	LDDLD
Club Atlético Güemes Relegation	18	24	20	5	5	14	21	43	-22	DLLLL