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Quilmes 1-1 Almagro: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sun, Aug 9 2026 Β· 20:00
FT
🌍 Argentina
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.22
League avg: 1.00
Both
1.81
League avg: 1.90
Away
0.59
League avg: 0.90
1X2 Probability
Home
54%
ELO-based: 41%
Draw
30%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
16%
ELO-based: 35%
Goal Probability
2.5+
38%
3.5+
21%
BTTS
41%
Best Score Tips
1 - 020%
0 - 016%
2 - 012%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Quilmes vs Almagro

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Quilmes vs Almagro.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Almagro
01234
Quilmes 0 16.4% 9.6% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 20.0% 11.7% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 12.3% 7.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1498+11
League
1502Β±0
Away
1467+2
ELO Verdict
Home edge, Low confidence, high upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Quilmes14981508154114611589+11
Almagro14671477145313961528+2
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Quilmes923287792320WLLDW
Almagro12232985102026WLWDL
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Quilmes 5 47% 78% 33% 1.4 1.2
Almagro 5 47% 56% 22% 1.0 1.4
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Quilmes 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.4 1.3 0.9
Almagro 1.1 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.5 1.1
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Quilmes 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.4
Almagro 0.9 0.6 1.1 1.5
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 12.50% 15.00% 26.32% 3.85%
16-30 8.33% 5.00% 15.79% 15.38%
31-45 20.83% 10.00% 26.92%
46-60 12.50% 25.00% 21.05% 19.23%
61-75 25.00% 15.00% 5.26% 15.38%
76-90 20.83% 30.00% 31.58% 19.23%
Team Comparison
5%
Form
5%
58%
Attack
42%
54%
Defense
46%
83%
Poisson
17%
38%
H2H
62%
44%
Goals
56%
55%
Total
46%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Quilmes 3-0 0-3 0-1 3-1 3 / 3 1 / 3
Almagro 2-0 1-3 0-2 6-1 2 / 3 2 / 6
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Quilmes 10 7 3 12 5 7
Almagro 7 5 2 10 3 7
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Quilmes 2 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Almagro 1 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-03-21 Almagro 1 - 0 FT Quilmes
2025-08-31 Almagro 2 - 2 FT Quilmes
2025-04-26 Quilmes 0 - 1 FT Almagro
2022-09-23 Quilmes 1 - 1 FT Almagro
2020-12-11 Almagro 0 - 1 FT Quilmes
2020-04-11 Quilmes β€” Almagro
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.57 Bet365
Draw 3.61 Pinnacle
Away win 7.50 Bet365
Over 2.5 2.60 Bet365
Under 2.5 1.52 Unibet
BTTS Yes 2.65 Superbet
BTTS No 1.50 William Hill
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
87' Almagro J. Orlando Goal Assist: J. Vitale
84' Quilmes A. Spetale subst Out: A. Bolivar
78' Almagro J. Bustos Card Yellow Card
77' Almagro J. Fernandes subst Out: T. Dornell
77' Almagro E. Silcan subst Out: N. Tolosa
74' Quilmes A. Spetale Goal Assist: A. Batista
65' Quilmes J. Yangali Card Yellow Card
65' Quilmes U. Vera subst Out: J. Coronel
58' Almagro F. Bustamante subst Out: T. Lopez
58' Almagro C. Salto subst Out: J. Bustos
57' Quilmes R. Martinez subst Out: N. Colazo
46' Almagro F. De La Vega subst Out: E. Martinez
46' Quilmes A. Bindella subst Out: T. Ortega
46' Quilmes G. Vega subst Out: A. Lavezzi
44' Almagro J. Orlando Card Yellow Card
32' Quilmes A. Bindella Card Yellow Card
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Primera Nacional 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Ferro Carril Oeste Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final) 1 25 49 15 4 6 31 23 8 WWLLW
Deportivo Moron Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 2 24 44 13 5 6 39 22 17 WWLWD
Colon Santa Fe Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 3 25 42 11 9 5 32 19 13 WWDLL
Almirante Brown Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 4 24 38 10 8 6 19 13 6 WWDDD
Godoy Cruz Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 5 24 37 10 7 7 28 22 6 LWWWW
Deportivo Madryn Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 6 23 36 9 9 5 30 22 8 WWDDL
CA Estudiantes Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 7 25 35 9 8 8 22 20 2 WLDLD
Ciudad de BolΓ­var Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 8 25 34 8 10 7 21 22 -1 LLLWD
Los Andes 9 23 33 8 9 6 20 11 9 LLDWL
Racing Cordoba 10 24 30 8 6 10 23 28 -5 WLWLW
Atletico Mitre 11 25 29 6 11 8 25 29 -4 DWWDW
San Miguel 12 24 29 6 11 7 19 23 -4 WLLDL
Defensores De Belgrano 13 24 26 5 11 8 16 21 -5 DLDDL
All Boys 14 24 24 4 12 8 14 23 -9 DLDDD
San Telmo 15 24 23 5 8 11 18 27 -9 LLWLL
Central Norte 16 23 23 5 8 10 15 24 -9 DWLLD
Chaco For Ever Relegation 17 23 22 5 7 11 21 28 -7 LWWWD
Acassuso Relegation 18 24 22 5 7 12 18 29 -11 DLDDL
Tristan Suarez Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final) 1 23 42 11 9 3 23 12 11 WWWWL
Gimnasia Jujuy Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 2 24 41 12 5 7 35 29 6 LLLWD
Atlanta Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 3 24 39 12 3 9 30 25 5 LWLLW
Midland Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 4 24 38 10 8 6 26 17 9 DWDWW
Gimnasia Y Tiro Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 5 24 37 10 7 7 26 22 4 WWWWD
Temperley Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 6 24 37 9 10 5 24 21 3 LLWWD
Deportivo Maipu Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 7 25 35 10 5 10 33 27 6 WLWLD
Atletico DE Rafaela Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) 8 25 35 9 8 8 18 19 -1 DWDWL
Quilmes 9 25 32 8 8 9 27 21 6 WDWDL
San Martin Tucuman 10 24 31 7 10 7 22 20 2 DLLDW
Colegiales 11 24 30 8 6 10 23 25 -2 LDWWL
Almagro 12 25 30 8 6 11 21 29 -8 LDLDW
Nueva Chicago 13 23 29 7 8 8 20 22 -2 LWLDL
Agropecuario 14 25 29 7 8 10 22 28 -6 WWLWD
San Martin S.J. 15 22 28 7 7 8 23 23 0 DDLWL
Chacarita Juniors 16 24 26 7 5 12 18 26 -8 LLWLD
Patronato Relegation 17 24 24 4 12 8 18 26 -8 LDDLD
Club AtlΓ©tico GΓΌemes Relegation 18 24 20 5 5 14 21 43 -22 DLLLL