Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 21:00 • Estadio La Asuncion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.48) 1.16 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.9% 31.4% 49.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.1%
0 - 0
17.3%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Municipal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mictlán 0 17.3% 20.1% 11.7% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.3% 11.9% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMictlánMunicipal
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack56%56%
Defense22%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mictlán Municipal
HATHAT
Played161834201838
Wins38%11%24%80%33%58%
Draws38%17%26%15%39%26%
Loses25%72%50%5%28%16%

Form: Mictlán: LDDLDWDLWWWLWLLLLLDLWDLLWDLLLDLWDL • Municipal: DWWDWDDWWDWWLWDWWLWWWWWDWLWLDWWWDDWLWL

League goals

Metric Mictlán Municipal
HATHAT
GF total171229421961
GF avg1.10.70.92.11.11.6
GA total122840131528
GA avg0.81.61.20.70.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMictlánMunicipal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%71%79%58%
1.526%38%47%16%
2.56%9%29%0%
3.53%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMictlánMunicipal
HATHAT
Clean sheets82109716
Failed to score61117088

Penalties

MetricMictlánMunicipal
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricMictlánMunicipal
Wins35
Draws22
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-34-10-3
Biggest losses2-33-11-22-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricMictlánMunicipal
Form42%58%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total37.2%62.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Municipal and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ Pinnacle
No1.74 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mictlán = 0.59 (league 1.48), Municipal = 1.16 (league 0.76)

Municipal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mictlán 0 17.3% 20.1% 11.7% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.3% 11.9% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.9% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 49.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1