Aurora vs Marquense

Liga Nacional — Guatemala

Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 21:00 • Estadio Guillermo Slowing

Match Finished

Aurora

0 - 1

Marquense

Expected Goals

1.70 (league 1.48) 0.65 (league 0.74)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
62.1%	23.3%	13.8%

best score tips

1 - 0

16.2%

2 - 0

13.8%

1 - 1

10.5%

Score & goals probability table

		Marquense
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Aurora	0	9.5%	6.2%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	16.2%	10.5%	3.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	13.8%	9.0%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	7.9%	5.1%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	3.3%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	1.1%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Aurora	Marquense
Played	5	5
Form	33%	60%
Attack	18%	55%
Defense	64%	73%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	3 \| 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%

FT probability

2.5+

48%

FT probability

3.5+

34%

FT probability

BTTS

65%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-5

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Aurora			Marquense
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	22	23	45	21	20	41
Wins	59%	13%	36%	62%	5%	34%
Draws	27%	30%	29%	24%	15%	20%
Loses	14%	57%	36%	14%	80%	46%

AuroraWLDWWDWWDDLWDWWWLDLWLWLWLLLDDWLWLWDDDLLLDWDLL

MarquenseLDDWLWLWLLLDWLWLWDDLLLLWLDLLWLDLDWWWLWWLW

League goals

Metric	Aurora			Marquense
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	27	21	48	28	12	40
GF avg	1.2	0.9	1.1	1.3	0.6	1.0
GA total	17	42	59	15	42	57
GA avg	0.8	1.8	1.3	0.7	2.1	1.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Aurora		Marquense
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	67%	71%	66%	71%
1.5	33%	40%	20%	44%
2.5	7%	11%	10%	17%
3.5	0%	9%	2%	5%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	2%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Aurora			Marquense
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	10	3	13	11	1	12
Failed to score	5	10	15	4	10	14

Penalties

Metric	Aurora	Marquense
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	1

Streaks

Metric	Aurora	Marquense
Wins	3	3
Draws	3	2
Losses	3	4

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	0-2	4-1	1-2
Biggest losses	0-2	4-0	0-2	5-0
Goals For	3	2	4	2
Goals Against	2	4	2	5

Model comparison

Metric	Aurora	Marquense
Form	36%	64%
Att	25%	75%
Def	43%	57%
Poisson Distribution	74%	26%
H2h	64%	36%
Goals	57%	43%
Total	49.8%	50.2%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Betano

Draw3.50 @ BetVictor

Away4.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Unibet

Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Unibet

No2.10 @ William Hill

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Aurora vs Marquense

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Aurora

Marquense

Liga Nacional • Guatemala • Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 21:00 • Estadio Guillermo Slowing

Expected goals

1.70

Aurora xG League Avg: 1.48

Total

2.35

0.65

Marquense xG League Avg: 0.74

1x2 probabilities

Home

62.1%

Draw

23.3%

Away

13.8%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

16.2%

Tip

2 - 0

13.8%

Tip

1 - 1

10.5%

More chances

1.5+

68%

Chance

2.5+

48%

Chance

3.5+

34%

Chance

BTTS

65%

Chance

🟨 Cards

3 - 5

Exp.

#Aurora #Marquense #LigaNacional #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Aurora = 1.70 (league 1.48), Marquense = 0.65 (league 0.74)

		Marquense
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Aurora	0	9.5%	6.2%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	16.2%	10.5%	3.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	13.8%	9.0%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	7.9%	5.1%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	3.3%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	1.1%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.1% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 13.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Aurora	Marquense
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	1