Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:30 •
Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.07)
0.44 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.5% | 45.3% | 22.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
35.3%
1 - 0
21.1%
0 - 1
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Excursionistas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Argentino de Merlo | 0 | 35.3% | 15.6% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.1% | 9.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Argentino de Merlo | Excursionistas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 31% | 46% |
| Defense | 62% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
46%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Argentino de Merlo | Excursionistas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 60% | 56% | 80% | 50% | 67% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 25% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
Form: Argentino de Merlo: LWWWDWLWL • Excursionistas: WWDWWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Argentino de Merlo | Excursionistas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Argentino de Merlo | Excursionistas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 44% | 89% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 11% | 33% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Argentino de Merlo | Excursionistas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Argentino de Merlo | Excursionistas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Argentino de Merlo | Excursionistas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Argentino de Merlo | Excursionistas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 55.3% | 44.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Argentino de Merlo or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.72 @ Betano
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away2.80 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ 10Bet
No1.72 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Argentino de Merlo
vs
Excursionistas
Expected goals
0.60
Argentino de Merlo xG
League Avg: 1.07
Total
1.04
0.44
Excursionistas xG
League Avg: 0.88
1x2 probabilities
Home
32.5%
Draw
45.3%
Away
22.2%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
35.3%
Tip
1 - 0
21.1%
Tip
0 - 1
15.6%
More chances
1.5+
46%
Chance
2.5+
32%
Chance
3.5+
23%
Chance
BTTS
52%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Argentino de Merlo = 0.60 (league 1.07), Excursionistas = 0.44 (league 0.88)
| Excursionistas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Argentino de Merlo | 0 | 35.3% | 15.6% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.1% | 9.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.6% · Draw 45.3% · Away win 22.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1