UAI Urquiza 0-0 Deportivo Merlo: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

UAI Urquiza 0-0 Deportivo Merlo: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Primera B Metropolitana 🌍 Argentina

Fri, Jul 10 2026 · 18:00

UAI Urquiza

0 - 0

Deportivo Merlo

🏆 Primera B Metropolitana

🌍 Argentina

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.97

League avg: 0.50

Both

1.77

League avg: 1.70

Away

0.80

League avg: 1.20

1X2 Probability

Home

34%

ELO-based: 36%

Draw

35%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

31%

ELO-based: 40%

Goal Probability

2.5+

38%

3.5+

21%

BTTS

43%

Best Score Tips

0 - 017%

1 - 017%

0 - 114%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo Merlo

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo Merlo.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Deportivo Merlo
		0	1	2	3	4
UAI Urquiza	0	17.1%	13.7%	5.5%	1.5%	0.3%
	1	16.5%	13.2%	5.3%	1.4%	0.3%
	2	8.0%	6.4%	2.6%	0.7%	0.1%
	3	2.6%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1438-6

League

1495±0

Away

1461-30

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
UAI Urquiza	1438	1435	1469	1298	1560	-6
Deportivo Merlo	1461	1450	1474	1417	1454	-30

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
UAI Urquiza	18	23	22	3	13	7	12	20	WDDDL
Deportivo Merlo	22	23	31	8	7	8	27	35	LDLLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
UAI Urquiza	5	40%	18%	55%	0.4	1.0
Deportivo Merlo	5	7%	45%	0%	1.0	3.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
UAI Urquiza	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.6	1.1	0.9
Deportivo Merlo	1.3	1.0	1.2	1.3	1.7	1.5

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
UAI Urquiza	0.5	0.5	0.9	0.6
Deportivo Merlo	1.2	1.0	1.5	1.7

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	25.00%	14.29%	10.00%	11.76%
16-30	8.33%	3.57%	15.00%	20.59%
31-45		17.86%	25.00%	29.41%
46-60	25.00%	10.71%	15.00%	14.71%
61-75	8.33%	17.86%	15.00%	11.76%
76-90	33.33%	35.71%	20.00%	11.76%

Team Comparison

86%

Form

14%

29%

Attack

71%

75%

Defense

25%

57%

Poisson

43%

64%

H2H

36%

57%

Goals

43%

61%

Total

39%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
UAI Urquiza	2-0	0-2	0-2	4-0	2 / 2	2 / 4
Deportivo Merlo	2-0	1-3	0-4	5-0	3 / 3	4 / 5

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
UAI Urquiza	12	6	6	15	8	7
Deportivo Merlo	6	4	2	6	3	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
UAI Urquiza	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Deportivo Merlo	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-02-27	Deportivo Merlo	0 - 0 FT	UAI Urquiza
2025-09-29	Deportivo Merlo	1 - 2 FT	UAI Urquiza
2025-05-10	UAI Urquiza	1 - 1 FT	Deportivo Merlo
2024-08-24	UAI Urquiza	0 - 0 FT	Deportivo Merlo
2024-04-06	Deportivo Merlo	1 - 1 FT	UAI Urquiza
2023-06-12	Deportivo Merlo	1 - 0 FT	UAI Urquiza

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.82	Pinnacle
Draw	2.80	10Bet
Away win	2.90	1xBet
Over 2.5	3.03	Pinnacle
Under 2.5	1.38	Betano
BTTS Yes	2.38	Bet365
BTTS No	1.57	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
73'	UAI Urquiza	M. Polizotto	subst	Out: F. Mesa
65'	Deportivo Merlo	I. Sandoval	subst	Out: C. Gugenheim
65'	Deportivo Merlo	J. E. Da Rosa	subst	Out: C. Sineiro
65'	Deportivo Merlo	R. Hernandez	subst	Out: D. Cabrera
60'	UAI Urquiza	R. Leiva	subst	Out: T. Rocha
59'	UAI Urquiza	E. Zapata	subst	Out: R. Scarcella
39'	Deportivo Merlo	A. Velasco	Card	Red Card
28'	Deportivo Merlo	L. Vallejo	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Primera B Metropolitana 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Excursionistas	1	21	42	12	6	3	28	12	16	LWDWW
Arsenal Sarandi	2	21	40	11	7	3	31	16	15	WDWWL
Villa Dalmine	3	21	40	11	7	3	26	11	15	WLWWD
Talleres Remedios	4	21	39	11	6	4	22	10	12	WWDDW
Deportivo Camioneros	5	21	35	9	8	4	22	15	7	WWDLD
Sportivo Italiano	6	21	33	9	6	6	22	19	3	DDLLW
Real Pilar	7	21	32	9	5	7	24	23	1	DDDWL
Comunicaciones	8	21	31	8	7	6	23	20	3	LLDDW
Deportivo Merlo	9	21	31	8	7	6	26	28	-2	LLLDL
San Martín Burzaco	10	21	29	7	8	6	22	19	3	DDDLL
Deportivo Armenio	11	21	28	8	4	9	23	26	-3	DWWDW
Argentino de Merlo	12	21	27	7	6	8	17	18	-1	DWWDD
Deportivo Laferrere	13	21	27	7	6	8	22	27	-5	WDWDW
Argentino Quilmes	14	21	26	6	8	7	23	21	2	LDWDW
Liniers	15	21	24	6	6	9	14	21	-7	DDDLL
Dock Sud	16	21	23	5	8	8	21	21	0	WDLDL
Defensores Unidos	17	21	23	5	8	8	18	22	-4	DLLDL
Flandria	18	21	22	6	4	11	17	26	-9	LLLWL
UAI Urquiza	19	21	21	3	12	6	12	16	-4	LDDDW
Brown DE Adrogue	20	21	19	4	7	10	14	27	-13	DWLDL
Villa San Carlos	21	21	17	3	8	10	20	28	-8	WDDDD
Ituzaingó	22	21	9	1	6	14	15	36	-21	LLDLW
Deportivo Camioneros	1	2	6	2	0	0	5	0	5	WWDLD
Talleres Remedios	2	2	6	2	0	0	4	0	4	WWDDW
Villa San Carlos	3	2	4	1	1	0	4	2	2	WDDDD
Dock Sud	4	2	4	1	1	0	3	1	2	WDLDL
Brown DE Adrogue	5	2	4	1	1	0	2	0	2	DWLDL
Argentino de Merlo	6	2	4	1	1	0	4	3	1	DWWDD
Deportivo Laferrere	7	2	4	1	1	0	3	2	1	WDWDW
Arsenal Sarandi	8	2	4	1	1	0	2	1	1	WDWWL
Deportivo Armenio	9	2	4	1	1	0	2	1	1	DWWDW
Excursionistas	10	2	3	1	0	1	6	3	3	LWDWW
Villa Dalmine	11	2	3	1	0	1	2	2	0	WLWWD
Liniers	12	2	2	0	2	0	2	2	0	DDDLL
Sportivo Italiano	13	2	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	DDLLW
Real Pilar	14	2	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	DDDWL
San Martín Burzaco	15	2	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	DDDLL
Defensores Unidos	16	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	-1	DLLDL
Argentino Quilmes	17	2	1	0	1	1	1	4	-3	LDWDW
UAI Urquiza	18	2	1	0	1	1	0	4	-4	LDDDW
Comunicaciones	19	2	0	0	0	2	3	5	-2	LLDDW
Ituzaingó	20	2	0	0	0	2	2	5	-3	LLDLW
Flandria	21	2	0	0	0	2	1	4	-3	LLLWL
Deportivo Merlo	22	2	0	0	0	2	1	7	-6	LLLDL