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Brown DE Adrogue 1-0 Excursionistas: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sat, Aug 8 2026 Β· 18:00
FT
🌍 Argentina
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
0.96
League avg: 0.60
Both
2.25
League avg: 2.00
Away
1.28
League avg: 1.40
1X2 Probability
Home
19%
ELO-based: 30%
Draw
25%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
56%
ELO-based: 46%
Goal Probability
2.5+
43%
3.5+
24%
BTTS
47%
Best Score Tips
0 - 114%
1 - 113%
0 - 011%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Brown DE Adrogue vs Excursionistas

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Brown DE Adrogue vs Excursionistas.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Excursionistas
01234
Brown DE Adrogue 0 10.6% 13.6% 8.7% 3.7% 1.2%
1 10.2% 13.1% 8.4% 3.6% 1.2%
2 4.9% 6.3% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1465+10
League
1495Β±0
Away
1543+1
ELO Verdict
Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Brown DE Adrogue14651473146713841546+10
Excursionistas15431537150715651577+1
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Brown DE Adrogue172828610121830DLLWD
Excursionistas2285315854019LWDDW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Brown DE Adrogue 5 33% 22% 67% 0.4 0.6
Excursionistas 5 53% 67% 56% 1.2 0.8
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Brown DE Adrogue 0.8 0.5 0.6 1.4 0.7 1.1
Excursionistas 1.5 1.4 1.4 0.5 0.9 0.7
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Brown DE Adrogue 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4
Excursionistas 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.9
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 15.00% 6.67% 15.79%
16-30 16.67% 7.50% 20.00%
31-45 11.11% 12.50% 16.67% 47.37%
46-60 22.22% 17.50% 13.33% 5.26%
61-75 11.11% 17.50% 3.33% 10.53%
76-90 38.89% 30.00% 40.00% 21.05%
Team Comparison
38%
Form
62%
25%
Attack
75%
57%
Defense
43%
24%
Poisson
76%
67%
H2H
33%
8%
Goals
2%
49%
Total
52%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Brown DE Adrogue 2-0 0-1 0-4 3-1 2 / 1 4 / 3
Excursionistas 5-0 1-3 1-2 3-1 5 / 3 2 / 3
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Brown DE Adrogue 11 5 6 13 6 7
Excursionistas 13 8 5 5 3 2
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Brown DE Adrogue 2 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Excursionistas 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-03-28 Excursionistas 1 - 0 FT Brown DE Adrogue
2025-07-09 Excursionistas 0 - 2 FT Brown DE Adrogue
2025-02-19 Brown DE Adrogue 2 - 0 FT Excursionistas
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 3.60 Betano
Draw 3.00 Betano
Away win 2.31 Dafabet
Over 2.5 2.81 Pinnacle
Under 2.5 1.50 Unibet
BTTS Yes 2.25 Bet365
BTTS No 1.70 Unibet
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
84' Brown DE Adrogue Card Yellow Card
75' Brown DE Adrogue B. Guerrero subst Out: L. Gonzalez
75' Brown DE Adrogue L. Baldunciel subst Out: A. Gonzalez
73' Excursionistas A. Paulides subst Out: I. Arbello
66' Brown DE Adrogue J. Silva subst Out: F. Ferrario
66' Brown DE Adrogue M. Sproat subst Out: B. Lopez
64' Excursionistas G. Tellas subst Out: W. Gimenez
58' Excursionistas G. Zoratti subst Out: L. Chambi
57' Excursionistas M. Alaniz subst Out: A. Avalos
57' Excursionistas M. Polvera subst Out: M. Blanco
52' Brown DE Adrogue B. Guerrero Goal Normal Goal
26' Brown DE Adrogue B. Baez subst Out: N. Meaurio
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Primera B Metropolitana 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Deportivo Camioneros Promotion - Primera Nacional 1 29 54 15 9 5 35 18 17 WDWWW
Excursionistas Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs) 2 29 53 15 8 6 40 20 20 LWDDW
Talleres Remedios Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs) 3 29 53 15 8 6 32 15 17 LDWWL
Arsenal Sarandi Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs) 4 28 52 14 10 4 38 20 18 DDWLW
Villa Dalmine Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs) 5 29 52 14 10 5 32 16 16 LWDDD
Sportivo Italiano Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs) 6 29 49 13 10 6 32 22 10 WDDWW
Real Pilar Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs) 7 29 44 12 8 9 33 31 2 DWWLL
Deportivo Armenio Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs) 8 29 41 11 8 10 32 33 -1 WLDDW
Deportivo Laferrere Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs) 9 28 41 11 8 9 32 33 -1 WLWWD
Comunicaciones 10 29 39 10 9 10 31 29 2 LDLWD
Argentino de Merlo 11 29 38 10 8 11 29 29 0 WLLDL
Deportivo Merlo 12 29 37 9 10 10 33 45 -12 LDLDW
San MartΓ­n Burzaco 13 28 36 8 12 8 27 26 1 DLLWD
Argentino Quilmes 14 29 34 7 13 9 25 28 -3 DDDDW
Dock Sud 15 28 33 7 12 9 28 26 2 DDWDL
Liniers 16 29 32 7 11 11 21 29 -8 WDDDL
Brown DE Adrogue 17 29 31 7 10 12 19 30 -11 WDWLL
Villa San Carlos 18 29 29 6 11 12 28 35 -7 WDWLL
Flandria 19 29 28 7 7 15 23 36 -13 DLDLW
UAI Urquiza 20 29 27 3 18 8 14 24 -10 DDDLD
Defensores Unidos Relegation - Primera C (Apertura) 21 29 26 5 11 13 24 35 -11 LLDDL
ItuzaingΓ³ Relegation - Primera C (Apertura) 22 29 12 1 9 19 18 46 -28 LDDLL