Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 00:45 • MorumBIS
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.06) 13.69 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.0% 0.0% 0.7%
best score tips
0 - 5
0.4%
0 - 4
0.2%
0 - 3
0.0%
Score & goals probability table
São Bernardo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sao Paulo 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSao PauloSão Bernardo
Played11
Form0%100%
Attack0%36%
Defense73%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 04 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 30 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sao Paulo São Bernardo
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins0%0%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%
Loses100%100%0%0%

Form: Sao Paulo: L • São Bernardo: W

League goals

Metric Sao Paulo São Bernardo
HATHAT
GF total000404
GF avg0.00.00.04.00.04.0
GA total033000
GA avg0.03.03.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSao PauloSão Bernardo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.50%100%100%0%
1.50%100%100%0%
2.50%100%100%0%
3.50%0%100%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSao PauloSão Bernardo
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricSao PauloSão Bernardo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSao PauloSão Bernardo
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0
Biggest losses3-0
Goals For0040
Goals Against0300

Model comparison

MetricSao PauloSão Bernardo
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h67%33%
Goals70%30%
Total68.5%31.5%

Advice: Winner : São Bernardo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away5.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sao Paulo = 0.05 (league 1.06), São Bernardo = 13.69 (league 0.88)

São Bernardo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sao Paulo 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.0% · Draw 0.0% · Away win 0.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1