USA 1-2 Germany: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

USA 1-2 Germany: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Friendlies 🌍 World

Sat, Jun 6 2026 · 18:30

USA

1 - 2

Germany

🏆 Friendlies

🌍 World

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.54

League avg: 1.70

Both

5.76

League avg: 5.00

Away

3.21

League avg: 3.30

1X2 Probability

Home

17%

ELO-based: 29%

Draw

29%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

54%

ELO-based: 47%

Goal Probability

2.5+

77%

3.5+

55%

BTTS

72%

Best Score Tips

2 - 36%

2 - 25%

3 - 35%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: USA vs Germany

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for USA vs Germany.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Germany
		0	1	2	3	4
USA	0	0.3%	1.0%	1.6%	1.7%	1.4%
	1	0.8%	2.6%	4.2%	4.4%	3.6%
	2	1.0%	3.3%	5.3%	5.7%	4.5%
	3	0.9%	2.8%	4.5%	4.8%	3.9%
	4	0.6%	1.8%	2.8%	3.0%	2.4%

ELO Overview

Home

1494-12

League

1508±0

Away

1581+47

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
USA	1494	1478	1490	1564	1449	-12
Germany	1581	1633	1533	1644	1538	+47

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
USA	—	3	3	1	0	2	5	9	LLW
Germany	—	3	9	3	0	0	10	4	WWW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
USA	3	33%	29%	47%	1.7	3.0
Germany	3	100%	59%	76%	3.3	1.3

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
USA	1.7	0.0	1.7	3.0	0.0	3.0
Germany	3.0	4.0	3.3	0.5	3.0	1.3

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
USA	1.7	1.7	3.0	3.0
Germany	3.3	4.0	1.3	3.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	20.00%
16-30	20.00%	10.00%		25.00%
31-45	20.00%	30.00%	33.33%	25.00%
46-60		20.00%	44.44%
61-75	20.00%	20.00%	11.11%	25.00%
76-90	20.00%	20.00%	11.11%	25.00%

Team Comparison

25%

Form

75%

33%

Attack

67%

31%

Defense

69%

23%

Poisson

77%

H2H

Goals

26%

Total

74%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
USA	3-2		2-5		3 / 0	5 / 0
Germany	4-0	3-4			4 / 4	1 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
USA	0	0	0	1	1	0
Germany	1	1	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
USA	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Germany	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2023-10-14	USA	1 - 3 FT	Germany
2014-06-26	USA	0 - 1 FT	Germany

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	5.50	Betano
Draw	4.60	Betano
Away win	1.65	1xBet
Over 2.5	1.53	Bet365
Under 2.5	2.65	Superbet
BTTS Yes	1.57	Bet365
BTTS No	2.45	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	USA	Germany
expected_goals	—	—
Ball Possession	52%	48%
Total Shots	16	12
Shots on Goal	4	4
Shots off Goal	7	6
Blocked Shots	5	2
Shots insidebox	8	5
Shots outsidebox	8	7
Corner Kicks	10	2
Offsides	3	4
Fouls	11	10
Yellow Cards	1	3
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	2	3
Total passes	476	444
Passes accurate	396	363
Passes %	83%	82%
goals_prevented	—	—

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+2'	USA	T. Weah	Card	Yellow Card
90+2'	Germany	N. Schlotterbeck	Card	Yellow Card
90'	Germany	M. Beier	Card	Yellow Card
80'	Germany	A. Pavlovic	subst	Out: A. Stiller
80'	Germany	J. Musiala	subst	Out: N. Amiri
80'	Germany	F. Nmecha	subst	Out: L. Goretzka
80'	Germany	F. Wirtz	subst	Out: M. Beier
72'	USA	T. Ream	subst	Out: M. Arfsten
72'	USA	S. Dest	subst	Out: T. Weah
72'	USA	F. Balogun	subst	Out: R. Pepi
72'	USA	A. Freeman	subst	Out: J. Scally
72'	USA	M. Tillman	subst	Out: B. Aaronson
72'	USA	T. Adams	subst	Out: C. Roldan
72'	Germany	L. Sane	subst	Out: J. Leweling
69'	Germany	D. Raum	Card	Yellow Card
63'	USA	A. Robinson	subst	Out: A. Trusty
62'	USA	C. Pulisic	subst	Out: G. Reyna
62'	USA	M. Robinson	subst	Out: M. McKenzie
62'	USA	W. McKennie	subst	Out: S. Berhalter
61'	Germany	N. Brown	subst	Out: D. Raum
61'	Germany	K. Havertz	subst	Out: D. Undav
61'	Germany	J. Kimmich	subst	Out: W. Anton
57'	Germany	L. Sane	Goal	Assist: K. Havertz
37'	USA	A. Robinson	Goal	Normal Goal
2'	Germany	K. Havertz	Goal	Assist: J. Kimmich