Paulista - A3
— Brazil
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 13:00 •
Estadio Ulrico Mursa
Expected Goals
3.40 (league 1.18)
0.38 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.9% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
best score tips
3 - 0
15.0%
2 - 0
13.2%
4 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Francana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Portuguesa Santista | 0 | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.0% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.7% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Portuguesa Santista | Francana |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 7% |
| Attack | 75% | 38% |
| Defense | 38% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Portuguesa Santista | Francana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 73% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 27% | 67% | 80% | 73% |
Form: Portuguesa Santista: WWWLWWLWWWL • Francana: LLLWWLLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Portuguesa Santista | Francana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Portuguesa Santista | Francana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 55% | 55% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 18% | 18% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 9% | 9% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Portuguesa Santista | Francana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Portuguesa Santista | Francana |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Portuguesa Santista | Francana |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Portuguesa Santista | Francana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 90% | 10% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 77.8% | 22.3% |
Advice: Winner : Portuguesa Santista
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Portuguesa Santista = 3.40 (league 1.18), Francana = 0.38 (league 0.85)
| Francana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Portuguesa Santista | 0 | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.0% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.7% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.9% · Draw 6.3% · Away win 1.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1