Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 14:00 •
Stade des Martyrs
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.16)
0.50 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6% | 17.7% | 7.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.3%
1 - 0
15.7%
3 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Bukavu Dawa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Motema Pembe | 0 | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.3% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.4% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Motema Pembe | Bukavu Dawa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 7% |
| Attack | 100% | 33% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Motema Pembe | Bukavu Dawa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 29% | 33% | 31% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
| Draws | 43% | 50% | 46% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Loses | 29% | 17% | 23% | 67% | 83% | 75% |
Form: Motema Pembe: LWDDDDDWDWLLW • Bukavu Dawa: LLLDWLLLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Motema Pembe | Bukavu Dawa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Motema Pembe | Bukavu Dawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 77% | 33% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 31% | 8% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Motema Pembe | Bukavu Dawa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Motema Pembe | Bukavu Dawa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Motema Pembe | Bukavu Dawa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 2-3 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Motema Pembe | Bukavu Dawa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 91% | 9% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 80.0% | 20.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Motema Pembe or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Motema Pembe = 2.09 (league 1.16), Bukavu Dawa = 0.50 (league 0.89)
| Bukavu Dawa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Motema Pembe | 0 | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.3% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.4% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.6% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 7.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1