Super Cup — Spain
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 19:00 • Alinma Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 3.00) 0.05 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.8% 19.5% 1.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
29.9%
2 - 0
25.0%
0 - 0
18.0%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 18.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelonaReal Madrid
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack63%25%
Defense100%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 52 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona Real Madrid
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins100%—100%—100%100%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses0%—0%—0%0%

Form: Barcelona: W • Real Madrid: W

League goals

Metric Barcelona Real Madrid
HATHAT
GF total505022
GF avg5.00.05.00.02.02.0
GA total000011
GA avg0.00.00.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelonaReal Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.5100%0%0%0%
3.5100%0%0%0%
4.5100%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelonaReal Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBarcelonaReal Madrid
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBarcelonaReal Madrid
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-0——1-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For5002
Goals Against0001

Model comparison

MetricBarcelonaReal Madrid
Form50%50%
Att71%29%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals65%35%
Total66.5%33.5%

Advice: Winner : Barcelona

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 1xBet
Draw4.26 @ 1xBet
Away3.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.85 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.33 @ 188Bet
No3.65 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Barcelona = 1.67 (league 3.00), Real Madrid = 0.05 (league 1.33)

Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 18.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.8% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 1.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1