Thu, Jan 15 2026 • 13:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.14) 0.49 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.9% 37.7% 19.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.5%
1 - 0
22.4%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Ahly Merowe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alamal Atbara 0 25.5% 12.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.4% 10.9% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlamal AtbaraAl-Ahly Merowe
Played22
Form50%17%
Attack17%8%
Defense83%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 11 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

39%
FT probability

2.5+

28%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alamal Atbara Al-Ahly Merowe
HATHAT
Played202202
Wins50%—50%0%—0%
Draws0%—0%50%—50%
Loses50%—50%50%—50%

Form: Alamal Atbara: WL • Al-Ahly Merowe: DL

League goals

Metric Alamal Atbara Al-Ahly Merowe
HATHAT
GF total202101
GF avg1.00.01.00.50.00.5
GA total202202
GA avg1.00.01.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlamal AtbaraAl-Ahly Merowe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%50%
1.50%50%0%50%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlamal AtbaraAl-Ahly Merowe
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricAlamal AtbaraAl-Ahly Merowe
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAlamal AtbaraAl-Ahly Merowe
Wins10
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0———
Biggest losses1-2—1-2—
Goals For1010
Goals Against2020

Model comparison

MetricAlamal AtbaraAl-Ahly Merowe
Form75%25%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total61.8%38.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Alamal Atbara or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alamal Atbara = 0.88 (league 1.14), Al-Ahly Merowe = 0.49 (league 1.03)

Al-Ahly Merowe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alamal Atbara 0 25.5% 12.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.4% 10.9% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 37.7% · Away win 19.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1