Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 13:00 • Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.17) 0.99 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.7% 35.7% 48.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.3%
0 - 1
24.0%
0 - 2
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
CS Sfaxien
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Zarzis 0 24.3% 24.0% 11.8% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.4% 10.3% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricES ZarzisCS Sfaxien
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack43%36%
Defense93%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ES Zarzis CS Sfaxien
HATHAT
Played68147815
Wins33%63%50%57%38%47%
Draws33%13%21%14%50%33%
Loses33%25%29%29%13%20%

Form: ES Zarzis: WWWDWLWLLDWLDW • CS Sfaxien: LDLWDWDDWWDLWWW

League goals

Metric ES Zarzis CS Sfaxien
HATHAT
GF total6121810818
GF avg1.01.51.31.41.01.2
GA total5712549
GA avg0.80.90.90.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineES ZarzisCS Sfaxien
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%57%80%40%
1.536%14%33%20%
2.521%14%7%0%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricES ZarzisCS Sfaxien
HATHAT
Clean sheets336459
Failed to score235123

Penalties

MetricES ZarzisCS Sfaxien
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricES ZarzisCS Sfaxien
Wins32
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-42-00-3
Biggest losses1-33-01-22-1
Goals For3423
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricES ZarzisCS Sfaxien
Form44%56%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : ES Zarzis or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Superbet
Draw2.70 @ Pinnacle
Away3.15 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.33 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.48 @ Pinnacle
No1.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ES Zarzis = 0.43 (league 1.17), CS Sfaxien = 0.99 (league 0.81)

CS Sfaxien
0 1 2 3 4 5
ES Zarzis 0 24.3% 24.0% 11.8% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.4% 10.3% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.7% · Draw 35.7% · Away win 48.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1