Mon, May 11 2026 • 20:45 •
Estadio Ameliano Villeta
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 0.90)
1.04 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.1% | 20.1% | 17.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.5%
1 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Recoleta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Deportivo Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 70% | 100% |
| Defense | 40% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Deportivo Recoleta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 33% | 40% | 37% | 50% | 22% | 37% |
| Draws | 44% | 50% | 47% | 30% | 11% | 21% |
| Loses | 22% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 67% | 42% |
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Deportivo RecoletaDDWWLWDLDLLLWLWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Deportivo Recoleta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 19 | 10 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sportivo Ameliano | Deportivo Recoleta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 74% | 84% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 11% | 37% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 0% | 16% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Deportivo Recoleta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Deportivo Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Deportivo Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Deportivo Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 40.2% | 59.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away3.65 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…