Mon, May 11 2026 • 23:00 • Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 0.90) 1.00 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.4% 20.9% 17.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
10.0%
1 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Club Guarani
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerro Porteno 0 4.9% 4.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.9% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 10.0% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.7% 6.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.4% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCerro PortenoClub Guarani
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack67%42%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cerro Porteno Club Guarani
HATHAT
Played991810919
Wins56%56%56%50%11%32%
Draws22%22%22%20%56%37%
Loses22%22%22%30%33%32%
Cerro PortenoDWWDLLWWWWLWWWWDDL
Club GuaraniLDWDWLDLDWLDDWWLWDL

League goals

Metric Cerro Porteno Club Guarani
HATHAT
GF total131427141125
GF avg1.41.61.51.41.21.3
GA total6101691221
GA avg0.71.10.90.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCerro PortenoClub Guarani
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%56%63%68%
1.550%33%42%32%
2.522%0%21%11%
3.56%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCerro PortenoClub Guarani
HATHAT
Clean sheets448336
Failed to score235437

Penalties

MetricCerro PortenoClub Guarani
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricCerro PortenoClub Guarani
Wins42
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-44-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-23-2
Goals For3443
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricCerro PortenoClub Guarani
Form53%47%
Att62%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h80%20%
Goals69%31%
Total63.0%37.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.85 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.89 @ Unibet
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League standings

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