Umeå FC 1-3 AFC Eskilstuna: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Umeå FC 1-3 AFC Eskilstuna: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Ettan - Norra 🌍 Sweden

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 11:00

Umeå FC

1 - 3

AFC Eskilstuna

🏆 Ettan - Norra

🌍 Sweden

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.75

League avg: 1.30

Both

3.69

League avg: 2.90

Away

1.93

League avg: 1.60

1X2 Probability

Home

27%

ELO-based: 23%

Draw

25%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

48%

ELO-based: 53%

Goal Probability

2.5+

62%

3.5+

38%

BTTS

61%

Best Score Tips

1 - 19%

1 - 28%

2 - 17%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		AFC Eskilstuna
		0	1	2	3	4
Umeå FC	0	2.5%	4.8%	4.7%	3.0%	1.5%
	1	4.4%	8.5%	8.2%	5.3%	2.6%
	2	3.8%	7.4%	7.2%	4.6%	2.2%
	3	2.3%	4.4%	4.2%	2.7%	1.3%
	4	1.0%	1.9%	1.8%	1.2%	0.6%

ELO Overview

Home

1428-23

League

1527±0

Away

1576+45

ELO Verdict

Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Umeå FC	1428	1419	1445	1488	1437	-23
AFC Eskilstuna	1576	1608	1509	1632	1441	+45

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Umeå FC	12	15	16	4	4	7	20	25	DWLLL
AFC Eskilstuna	6	15	22	6	4	5	24	24	WWDWW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Umeå FC	5	27%	24%	62%	1.0	1.6
AFC Eskilstuna	5	87%	52%	76%	2.2	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Umeå FC	1.3	1.4	1.3	1.6	1.8	1.7
AFC Eskilstuna	0.8	2.6	1.6	1.3	2.0	1.6

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Umeå FC	1.3	1.3	1.7	1.6
AFC Eskilstuna	1.6	2.6	1.6	2.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	9.52%	8.70%	8.33%	12.00%
16-30	9.52%	17.39%	8.33%	24.00%
31-45	23.81%	13.04%	8.33%	20.00%
46-60	19.05%	21.74%	25.00%	8.00%
61-75	9.52%	4.35%	12.50%	20.00%
76-90	28.57%	34.78%	37.50%	16.00%

Team Comparison

24%

Form

76%

31%

Attack

69%

38%

Defense

62%

43%

Poisson

57%

H2H

44%

Goals

56%

37%

Total

63%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Umeå FC	2-0	1-5	1-3	3-0	2 / 5	3 / 3
AFC Eskilstuna	3-2	1-4	0-3	4-3	3 / 4	3 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Umeå FC	1	1	0	4	2	2
AFC Eskilstuna	4	3	1	4	4	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Umeå FC	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
AFC Eskilstuna	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-08-02	AFC Eskilstuna	1 - 0 FT	Umeå FC
2024-09-15	AFC Eskilstuna	3 - 1 FT	Umeå FC
2024-06-23	Umeå FC	3 - 1 FT	AFC Eskilstuna
2020-09-27	Umeå FC	0 - 3 FT	AFC Eskilstuna
2020-06-27	AFC Eskilstuna	1 - 3 FT	Umeå FC

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.14	Unibet
Draw	3.95	Betano
Away win	3.05	Dafabet
Over 2.5	1.44	Bet365
Under 2.5	2.88	Betfair
BTTS Yes	1.44	Bet365
BTTS No	3.00	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
84'	AFC Eskilstuna	E. Chabo	subst	Out: A. Azizovic
81'	Umeå FC	Z. Bawa	subst	Out: V. Johansson
81'	Umeå FC	H. Hassan	subst	Out: I. Johansson
80'	AFC Eskilstuna	O. Blomdahl	subst	Out: U. Amadi
80'	AFC Eskilstuna	S. Skoldqvist	subst	Out: V. Lif
79'	AFC Eskilstuna	S. Skoldqvist	Goal	Normal Goal
75'	AFC Eskilstuna	I. Ahmed	subst	Out: L. Hanson
75'	AFC Eskilstuna	M. Rydh	subst	Out: D. Zhuravlev
74'	AFC Eskilstuna	I. Ahmed	Goal	Normal Goal
72'	Umeå FC	J. Essombe Mambingo	Card	Yellow Card
62'	Umeå FC	F. Godwin	subst	Out: T. Lindgren
60'	Umeå FC	E. Yeboah	subst	Out: D. Bangala
45+4'	Umeå FC	S. Lindmark	Card	Yellow Card
44'	AFC Eskilstuna	A. Flodkvist	Goal	Normal Goal
17'	AFC Eskilstuna	A. Mazalovic	Card	Yellow Card
1'	Umeå FC	S. Lindmark	Goal	Assist: Z. Bawa

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Hammarby Talang	1	16	36	11	3	2	44	13	31	DWWDW
IF Karlstad	2	16	36	11	3	2	28	11	17	WWLDW
Stockholm Internazionale	3	16	30	9	3	4	32	16	16	LWWWW
Arlanda	4	16	30	8	6	2	24	15	9	DLWWW
Enköping	5	16	28	9	1	6	27	26	1	WLLWD
AFC Eskilstuna	6	16	25	7	4	5	27	25	2	WWWDW
FBK Karlstad	7	16	25	7	4	5	24	23	1	DLLWL
Karlberg	8	16	21	6	3	7	26	25	1	LWWWL
Assyriska FF	9	16	20	5	5	6	27	29	-2	WWWDL
Vasalund	10	16	19	5	4	7	23	31	-8	WDLLD
Gefle IF	11	16	17	5	2	9	19	34	-15	LWWLL
Umeå FC	12	16	16	4	4	8	21	28	-7	LLLLW
Järfälla	13	16	15	4	3	9	22	35	-13	LLWDL
Sollentuna	14	16	14	2	8	6	13	23	-10	LDLLD
Stocksund	15	16	11	2	5	9	33	38	-5	WLLLD
Piteå	16	16	10	2	4	10	16	34	-18	DLLDL