Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 16:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished

HLM

0 - 5
Expected Goals
0.28 (league 0.86) 1.21 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.5% 30.9% 60.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
27.3%
0 - 0
22.5%
0 - 2
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
Gorée
0 1 2 3 4 5
HLM 0 22.5% 27.3% 16.5% 6.7% 2.0% 0.5%
1 6.3% 7.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
2 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHLMGorée
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack44%44%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

42%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

41%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HLM Gorée
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins0%20%10%60%40%50%
Draws80%80%80%40%40%40%
Loses20%0%10%0%20%10%

Form: HLM: DDDLDDDDDW • Gorée: DWWWWDDLDW

League goals

Metric HLM Gorée
HATHAT
GF total3367613
GF avg0.60.60.61.41.21.3
GA total426224
GA avg0.80.40.60.40.40.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHLMGorée
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%60%30%
1.510%10%40%10%
2.50%0%20%0%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHLMGorée
HATHAT
Clean sheets235347
Failed to score325134

Penalties

MetricHLMGorée
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHLMGorée
Wins04
Draws52
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-13-00-4
Biggest losses0-12-0
Goals For2134
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricHLMGorée
Form54%46%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total39.4%60.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gorée and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.75 @ 10Bet
Away2.50 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ William Hill
No1.47 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HLM = 0.28 (league 0.86), Gorée = 1.21 (league 0.79)

Gorée
0 1 2 3 4 5
HLM 0 22.5% 27.3% 16.5% 6.7% 2.0% 0.5%
1 6.3% 7.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
2 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.5% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 60.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1