Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 21:30 •
Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.33)
1.10 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.4% | 33.0% | 50.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
22.5%
0 - 0
20.5%
0 - 2
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Universidad de Chile | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nublense | 0 | 20.5% | 22.5% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nublense | Universidad de Chile |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 73% |
| Attack | 35% | 53% |
| Defense | 76% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nublense | Universidad de Chile | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 50% | 38% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% | 50% |
| Loses | 25% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
NublenseDDWWLWDD
Universidad de ChileDLDDWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Nublense | Universidad de Chile | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nublense | Universidad de Chile | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 50% | 75% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nublense | Universidad de Chile | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nublense | Universidad de Chile |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nublense | Universidad de Chile |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nublense | Universidad de Chile |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 31.5% | 68.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.27 @ Pinnacle
Away2.78 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Nublense
vs
Universidad de Chile
Expected goals
0.49
Nublense xG
League Avg: 1.33
Total
1.59
1.10
Universidad de Chile xG
League Avg: 0.95
1x2 probabilities
Home
16.4%
Draw
33.0%
Away
50.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
22.5%
Tip
0 - 0
20.5%
Tip
0 - 2
12.3%
More chances
1.5+
55%
Chance
2.5+
39%
Chance
3.5+
28%
Chance
BTTS
60%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Nublense = 0.49 (league 1.33), Universidad de Chile = 1.10 (league 0.95)
| Universidad de Chile | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nublense | 0 | 20.5% | 22.5% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.4% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 50.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1