Primera A — Colombia
Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 23:00 • Estadio Bello Horizonte
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.12) 0.75 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.5% 15.3% 9.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.1%
3 - 0
10.1%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Jaguares
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llaneros 0 3.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.7% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.1% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.1% 7.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.4% 4.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLlanerosJaguares
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack42%33%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Llaneros Jaguares
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins0%50%22%60%0%33%
Draws80%25%56%0%25%11%
Loses20%25%22%40%75%56%

Form: Llaneros: WDDDWLLDD • Jaguares: WLDWLWLLL

League goals

Metric Llaneros Jaguares
HATHAT
GF total5510729
GF avg1.01.31.11.40.51.0
GA total63961117
GA avg1.20.81.01.22.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLlanerosJaguares
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%67%78%
1.522%22%22%56%
2.50%0%11%33%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLlanerosJaguares
HATHAT
Clean sheets022202
Failed to score101123

Penalties

MetricLlanerosJaguares
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricLlanerosJaguares
Wins11
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-23-1—
Biggest losses0-12-10-25-0
Goals For2231
Goals Against2235

Model comparison

MetricLlanerosJaguares
Form63%38%
Att56%44%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h33%67%
Goals44%56%
Total56.7%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Llaneros or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw3.55 @ Betano
Away5.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.67 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Llaneros = 2.51 (league 1.12), Jaguares = 0.75 (league 0.80)

Jaguares
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llaneros 0 3.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.7% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.1% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.1% 7.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.4% 4.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.5% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 9.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1