Primera A — Colombia
Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 19:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.33 (league 1.11) 1.11 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.5% 18.6% 16.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
2 - 0
8.7%
1 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Santa Fe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millonarios 0 3.2% 3.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.5% 8.3% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.8% 7.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.0% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMillonariosSanta Fe
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack59%41%
Defense65%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Millonarios Santa Fe
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins63%14%40%29%25%27%
Draws25%14%20%43%50%47%
Loses13%71%40%29%25%27%

Form: Millonarios: LLLDDWWLWWLWWDL • Santa Fe: DDDWDLLWLDDWWLD

League goals

Metric Millonarios Santa Fe
HATHAT
GF total169259918
GF avg2.01.31.71.31.11.2
GA total6111791019
GA avg0.81.61.11.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMillonariosSanta Fe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%67%87%93%
1.547%40%33%27%
2.520%7%0%7%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMillonariosSanta Fe
HATHAT
Clean sheets415011
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricMillonariosSanta Fe
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMillonariosSanta Fe
Wins22
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-42-11-2
Biggest losses1-23-21-23-1
Goals For5422
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricMillonariosSanta Fe
Form47%53%
Att59%41%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Millonarios or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw3.60 @ Unibet
Away4.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Unibet
No1.90 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Millonarios = 2.33 (league 1.11), Santa Fe = 1.11 (league 0.79)

Santa Fe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millonarios 0 3.2% 3.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.5% 8.3% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.8% 7.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.0% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.5% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 16.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1