Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:30 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.26) 0.98 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.1% 19.0% 15.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marsaxlokk 0 4.1% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.1% 8.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarsaxlokkNaxxar Lions
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack50%58%
Defense58%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marsaxlokk Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
Played101525111425
Wins60%40%48%36%29%32%
Draws20%27%24%27%14%20%
Loses20%33%28%36%57%48%

Form: Marsaxlokk: WWLWLLDWDWDLWLDWLWWDWWDLW • Naxxar Lions: LLDLLLWLDLLDLWWWLWLWLDWWD

League goals

Metric Marsaxlokk Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
GF total141630171835
GF avg1.41.11.21.51.31.4
GA total91726132841
GA avg0.91.11.01.22.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarsaxlokkNaxxar Lions
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%68%72%84%
1.540%28%36%44%
2.58%8%16%28%
3.50%0%12%8%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarsaxlokkNaxxar Lions
HATHAT
Clean sheets358314
Failed to score257347

Penalties

MetricMarsaxlokkNaxxar Lions
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMarsaxlokkNaxxar Lions
Wins23
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-35-00-4
Biggest losses0-23-01-34-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricMarsaxlokkNaxxar Lions
Form56%44%
Att46%54%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Marsaxlokk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Superbet
Away4.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.97 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 1xBet
No2.04 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marsaxlokk = 2.23 (league 1.26), Naxxar Lions = 0.98 (league 1.20)

Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marsaxlokk 0 4.1% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.1% 8.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.1% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 15.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1