APR 2-1 AS Kigali: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

APR 2-1 AS Kigali: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 National Soccer League 🌍 Rwanda

Sun, May 10 2026 · 16:30

APR

2 - 1

AS Kigali

🏆 National Soccer League

🌍 Rwanda

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.35

League avg: 1.40

Both

2.10

League avg: 2.10

Away

0.75

League avg: 0.70

1X2 Probability

Home

68%

ELO-based: 52%

Draw

20%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

12%

ELO-based: 24%

Goal Probability

2.5+

41%

3.5+

30%

BTTS

59%

Best Score Tips

1 - 017%

1 - 112%

0 - 012%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: APR vs AS Kigali

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for APR vs AS Kigali.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		AS Kigali
		0	1	2	3	4
APR	0	12.2%	9.2%	3.4%	0.9%	0.2%
	1	16.5%	12.4%	4.6%	1.2%	0.2%
	2	11.2%	8.4%	3.1%	0.8%	0.1%
	3	5.0%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	1.7%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1612-9

League

1514±0

Away

1473-5

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
APR	1612	1609	1566	1542	1630	-9
AS Kigali	1473	1464	1496	1365	1597	-5

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
APR	2	30	56	15	11	4	41	26	WLWDL
AS Kigali	14	30	29	6	11	13	21	33	DWDLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
APR	5	47%	0%	0%	1.2	1.4
AS Kigali	5	33%	0%	0%	0.6	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
APR	1.4	1.4	1.4	0.6	1.1	0.9
AS Kigali	0.5	0.9	0.7	0.9	1.3	1.1

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
APR	1.4	1.4	0.9	0.6
AS Kigali	0.7	0.9	1.1	1.3

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90

Team Comparison

58%

Form

42%

67%

Attack

33%

42%

Defense

58%

72%

Poisson

28%

75%

H2H

25%

58%

Goals

42%

62%

Total

38%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
APR	3-0	0-3	0-4	2-0	3 / 3	4 / 3
AS Kigali	1-0	0-2	0-3	4-2	2 / 2	3 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
APR	13	8	5	6	3	3
AS Kigali	12	6	6	13	9	4

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
APR	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
AS Kigali	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-11-28	AS Kigali	1 - 1 FT	APR
2025-02-16	APR	2 - 1 FT	AS Kigali
2024-12-01	AS Kigali	0 - 1 FT	APR
2024-04-15	AS Kigali	2 - 2 FT	APR
2023-11-25	APR	1 - 1 FT	AS Kigali
2023-04-29	APR	0 - 0 FT	AS Kigali

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.50	Homepage market
Draw	3.80	Homepage market
Away win	5.50	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.75	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

League Standings

Local standings cache · National Soccer League 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Al Hilal Omdurman Champions League	1	32	74	23	5	4	72	22	50	DWWWW
APR CAF Confederation Cup	2	31	59	16	11	4	43	27	16	WLDWL
Al Merreikh	3	30	58	16	10	4	38	17	21	LWWWL
Rayon Sports	4	32	52	13	13	6	37	29	8	DWLDW
Kiyovu Sports	5	32	51	13	12	7	33	20	13	DWWDD
Police	6	32	48	11	15	6	28	19	9	DDDDW
Mukura	7	32	46	12	10	10	34	35	-1	DWDLL
Marines	8	32	41	11	8	13	43	40	3	DLWDL
Bugesera	9	32	41	11	8	13	32	37	-5	DLLLL
Musanze	10	31	39	10	9	12	33	32	1	DDDLL
Gorilla	11	32	37	9	10	13	28	37	-9	DLWDW
Gasogi United	12	32	35	8	11	13	27	40	-13	LDWDD
Gicumbi	13	32	35	9	8	15	35	50	-15	LWLLW
AS Kigali	14	32	32	7	11	14	24	36	-12	WLLLD
Etincelles	15	32	31	5	16	11	26	39	-13	DDLDD
Amagaju Relegation	16	31	31	8	7	16	18	36	-18	WLDLW
Muhanga Relegation	17	32	28	7	7	18	21	43	-22	DLWWL
Rutsiro Relegation	18	31	26	5	11	15	28	41	-13	LDWLD