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Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W Prediction, Odds & Stats | NWSL Women

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🏆 NWSL Women 🌍 USA

Sat, Jul 11 2026 · 00:00

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Racing Louisville W

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Bay FC W

🏆 NWSL Women

🌍 USA

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.81

League avg: 1.30

Both

3.22

League avg: 2.20

Away

1.40

League avg: 0.90

1X2 Probability

Home

44%

ELO-based: 53%

Draw

25%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

31%

ELO-based: 23%

Goal Probability

2.5+

56%

3.5+

34%

BTTS

57%

Best Score Tips

1 - 110%

2 - 19%

1 - 07%

FT Score Probability Grid

		Bay FC W
		0	1	2	3	4
Racing Louisville W	0	4.0%	5.6%	3.9%	1.8%	0.6%
	1	7.3%	10.2%	7.2%	3.3%	1.2%
	2	6.6%	9.3%	6.5%	3.0%	1.1%
	3	4.0%	5.6%	3.9%	1.8%	0.6%
	4	1.8%	2.5%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%

ELO Overview

Home

1516-34

League

1507±0

Away

1372-18

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Racing Louisville W	1516	1492	1507	1546	1455	-34
Bay FC W	1372	1352	1454	1405	1406	-18

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Racing Louisville W	16	12	7	2	1	9	15	24	WLLLL
Bay FC W	13	12	12	3	3	6	11	19	DLLLD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Racing Louisville W	5	20%	26%	47%	1.0	2.0
Bay FC W	5	13%	21%	53%	0.8	1.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Racing Louisville W	1.8	0.9	1.3	1.6	2.3	2.0
Bay FC W	0.7	1.2	0.9	1.3	1.8	1.6

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Racing Louisville W	1.3	1.8	2.0	1.6
Bay FC W	0.9	1.2	1.6	1.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	6.25%	30.77%	21.74%	11.76%
16-30	25.00%	30.77%	8.70%	11.76%
31-45	12.50%	15.38%	21.74%	23.53%
46-60	18.75%	23.08%	8.70%	17.65%
61-75	6.25%		13.04%	17.65%
76-90	31.25%		26.09%	17.65%

Team Comparison

6%

Form

4%

56%

Attack

44%

47%

Defense

53%

57%

Poisson

43%

25%

H2H

75%

2%

Goals

8%

44%

Total

56%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Racing Louisville W	3-1		1-2	4-0	3 / 3	2 / 4
Bay FC W	2-1	1-3	1-3	3-0	2 / 3	3 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Racing Louisville W	0	0	0	4	1	3
Bay FC W	2	1	1	5	3	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Racing Louisville W	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Bay FC W	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-11-02	Racing Louisville W	1 - 0 FT	Bay FC W
2025-03-23	Bay FC W	2 - 0 FT	Racing Louisville W
2024-09-08	Bay FC W	1 - 0 FT	Racing Louisville W
2024-06-29	Racing Louisville W	0 - 1 FT	Bay FC W

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.50	Bet365
Draw	3.40	Bet365
Away win	2.50	Bet365
Over 2.5	1.67	Bet365
Under 2.5	2.15	Bet365
BTTS Yes	1.67	Bet365
BTTS No	2.10	Bet365

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.