Washington Spirit W 3-4 North Carolina Courage W: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Washington Spirit W 3-4 North Carolina Courage W: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 NWSL Women 🌍 USA

Sat, Aug 8 2026 · 22:30

Washington Spirit W

3 - 4

North Carolina Courage W

🏆 NWSL Women

🌍 USA

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.18

League avg: 1.40

Both

2.03

League avg: 3.00

Away

0.85

League avg: 1.60

1X2 Probability

Home

41%

ELO-based: 44%

Draw

33%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

26%

ELO-based: 32%

Goal Probability

2.5+

43%

3.5+

24%

BTTS

47%

Best Score Tips

1 - 016%

1 - 113%

0 - 013%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Washington Spirit W vs North Carolina Courage W

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Washington Spirit W vs North Carolina Courage W.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		North Carolina Courage W
		0	1	2	3	4
Washington Spirit W	0	13.1%	11.1%	4.7%	1.3%	0.3%
	1	15.6%	13.2%	5.6%	1.6%	0.3%
	2	9.2%	7.8%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%
	3	3.6%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	1.1%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1608-8

League

1507±0

Away

1556+7

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Washington Spirit W	1608	1603	1532	1649	1598	-8
North Carolina Courage W	1556	1571	1523	1612	1491	+7

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Washington Spirit W	2	18	36	11	3	4	26	13	LWWWL
North Carolina Courage W	6	17	27	8	3	6	28	23	LLLWW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Washington Spirit W	5	60%	27%	80%	0.8	0.6
North Carolina Courage W	5	40%	53%	40%	1.6	1.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Washington Spirit W	1.4	1.5	1.4	0.6	0.8	0.7
North Carolina Courage W	2.1	1.1	1.6	1.7	1.0	1.4

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Washington Spirit W	1.4	1.4	0.7	0.6
North Carolina Courage W	1.6	1.1	1.4	1.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	11.54%	7.14%	7.69%	26.09%
16-30	19.23%	14.29%	7.69%	21.74%
31-45	23.08%	10.71%	30.77%	26.09%
46-60	15.38%	17.86%	23.08%	8.70%
61-75	15.38%	21.43%		4.35%
76-90	15.38%	28.57%	30.77%	13.04%

Team Comparison

Form

33%

Attack

67%

75%

Defense

25%

61%

Poisson

39%

71%

H2H

29%

Goals

62%

Total

38%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Washington Spirit W	4-0	2-4	0-1	2-1	4 / 4	1 / 2
North Carolina Courage W	5-0	0-2	1-4	3-0	5 / 2	4 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Washington Spirit W	8	3	5	4	2	2
North Carolina Courage W	5	2	3	4	1	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Washington Spirit W	0	0%	1	100.00%	—	—
North Carolina Courage W	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-07-11	North Carolina Courage W	0 - 2 FT	Washington Spirit W
2025-10-11	North Carolina Courage W	1 - 1 FT	Washington Spirit W
2025-06-08	Washington Spirit W	3 - 1 FT	North Carolina Courage W
2024-11-02	North Carolina Courage W	0 - 1 FT	Washington Spirit W
2024-06-29	Washington Spirit W	0 - 1 FT	North Carolina Courage W
2023-10-15	Washington Spirit W	0 - 1 FT	North Carolina Courage W

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.80	Betano
Draw	3.80	Betfair
Away win	4.36	Pinnacle
Over 2.5	1.75	Unibet
Under 2.5	2.15	Pinnacle
BTTS Yes	1.73	Bet365
BTTS No	2.12	Betano

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Washington Spirit W	North Carolina Courage W
expected_goals	—	—
Ball Possession	55%	45%
Total Shots	10	5
Shots on Goal	2	3
Shots off Goal	6	2
Blocked Shots	2	0
Shots insidebox	5	3
Shots outsidebox	5	2
Corner Kicks	3	2
Offsides	1	1
Fouls	4	10
Yellow Cards	1	1
Red Cards	—	—
Goalkeeper Saves	—	—
Total passes	320	259
Passes accurate	265	208
Passes %	83%	80%
goals_prevented	—	—

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
50'	Washington Spirit W	S. Cantore	Goal	Normal Goal
47'	Washington Spirit W	T. Rodman	Goal	Assist: K. Wiesner
46'	North Carolina Courage W	A. Sanchez	subst	Out: H. Betfort
46'	Washington Spirit W	A. Sullivan	subst	Out: R. Bernal
46'	Washington Spirit W	P. Metayer	subst	Out: Tamara Bolt
46'	Washington Spirit W	C. Martinez Ovando	subst	Out: S. Cantore
46'	Washington Spirit W	E. Morgan	subst	Out: E. Tse
37'	North Carolina Courage W	F. Rauch	Card	Yellow Card
35'	Washington Spirit W	E. Morgan	Card	Yellow Card
15'	North Carolina Courage W	E. Ijeh	Goal	Assist: A. Sanchez
9'	North Carolina Courage W	E. Ijeh	Goal	Assist: A. Schlegel
2'	North Carolina Courage W	A. Sanchez	Goal	Assist: S. Koyama

League Standings

Local standings cache · NWSL Women 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
NJ/NY Gotham FC W Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)	1	19	40	12	4	3	24	12	12	WWWDW
Washington Spirit W Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)	2	19	36	11	3	5	29	17	12	LLWWW
Utah Royals W Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)	3	19	33	10	3	6	32	21	11	LWLWW
San Diego Wave W Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)	4	19	32	10	2	7	24	20	4	LWLDL
Portland Thorns W Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)	5	19	31	9	4	6	32	28	4	WLDLL
North Carolina Courage W Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)	6	18	30	9	3	6	32	26	6	WWWLL
Kansas City W Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)	7	19	30	9	3	7	30	26	4	DDWLD
Angel City W Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)	8	17	24	7	3	7	26	19	7	DDLWW
Seattle Reign FC W	9	17	24	7	3	7	22	23	-1	DWWLW
Denver Summit W	10	18	23	6	5	7	24	24	0	WLDLW
Orlando Pride W	11	19	23	7	2	10	23	29	-6	LLWLL
Boston Legacy W	12	19	20	5	5	9	22	28	-6	LDWLW
Houston Dash W	13	18	20	5	5	8	20	26	-6	DLWDD
Bay FC W	14	18	19	5	4	9	18	24	-6	DLLLW
Racing Louisville W	15	18	17	5	2	11	24	35	-11	WWLWD
Chicago Red Stars W	16	18	13	4	1	13	9	33	-24	DLLLL