Stjarnan 1-0 Keflavik: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Stjarnan 1-0 Keflavik: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Úrvalsdeild 🌍 Iceland

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 18:00

Stjarnan

1 - 0

Keflavik

🏆 Úrvalsdeild

🌍 Iceland

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.41

League avg: 1.90

Both

4.36

League avg: 3.50

Away

1.95

League avg: 1.60

1X2 Probability

Home

40%

ELO-based: 38%

Draw

25%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

35%

ELO-based: 38%

Goal Probability

2.5+

71%

3.5+

46%

BTTS

67%

Best Score Tips

2 - 17%

2 - 27%

1 - 16%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Stjarnan vs Keflavik

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Stjarnan vs Keflavik.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Keflavik
		0	1	2	3	4
Stjarnan	0	1.3%	2.5%	2.4%	1.6%	0.8%
	1	3.1%	6.0%	5.8%	3.8%	1.9%
	2	3.7%	7.2%	7.1%	4.6%	2.2%
	3	3.0%	5.8%	5.7%	3.7%	1.8%
	4	1.8%	3.5%	3.4%	2.2%	1.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1567-7

League

1558±0

Away

1568+17

ELO Verdict

Draw edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Stjarnan	1567	1566	1532	1676	1433	-7
Keflavik	1568	1573	1500	1715	1472	+17

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Stjarnan	8	17	18	5	3	9	32	43	WDLLW
Keflavik	5	17	22	6	4	7	28	33	DLWLW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Stjarnan	5	47%	60%	0%	1.8	3.0
Keflavik	5	47%	73%	33%	2.2	2.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Stjarnan	2.0	1.8	1.9	2.5	2.6	2.5
Keflavik	1.8	1.5	1.6	1.2	2.8	1.9

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Stjarnan	1.9	2.0	2.5	2.5
Keflavik	1.6	1.5	1.9	2.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	18.75%	7.14%	16.28%	15.15%
16-30	18.75%	7.14%	20.93%	12.12%
31-45	15.63%	28.57%	13.95%	9.09%
46-60	15.63%	21.43%	23.26%	24.24%
61-75	12.50%	17.86%	11.63%	6.06%
76-90	18.75%	17.86%	13.95%	33.33%

Team Comparison

Form

45%

Attack

55%

Defense

54%

Poisson

46%

71%

H2H

29%

58%

Goals

42%

53%

Total

47%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Stjarnan	3-1	1-3	2-4	5-0	4 / 3	4 / 5
Keflavik	5-2	1-3	1-3	6-1	5 / 3	3 / 6

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Stjarnan	0	0	0	2	1	1
Keflavik	3	3	0	1	1	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Stjarnan	0	0%	1	100.00%	—	—
Keflavik	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-17	Keflavik	1 - 1 FT	Stjarnan
2026-01-30	Stjarnan	2 - 1 FT	Keflavik
2025-06-18	Stjarnan	4 - 2 FT	Keflavik
2025-02-25	Stjarnan	1 - 4 FT	Keflavik
2023-09-03	Stjarnan	3 - 0 FT	Keflavik
2023-06-11	Keflavik	1 - 1 FT	Stjarnan

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.88	SBO
Draw	4.45	Pinnacle
Away win	3.50	Pinnacle
Over 2.5	1.28	Bet365
Under 2.5	3.80	Betfair
BTTS Yes	1.30	William Hill
BTTS No	3.70	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+3'	Stjarnan	O. Eggertsson	subst	Out: A. Hauksson
90'	Keflavik	D. Valsson	subst	Out: A. Adalbjorssnos
90'	Keflavik	E. Bjarnason	subst	Out: R. Holmarsson
81'	Stjarnan	E. Atlason	subst	Out: A. Vilhjalmsson
81'	Stjarnan	J. Gunnarsson	subst	Out: I. Turay
75'	Keflavik	S. Magnusson	subst	Out: V. A. Traustason
70'	Keflavik	E. Karlsson	Card	Yellow Card
62'	Keflavik	S. Ljubicic	subst	Out: M. Mudrazija
61'	Stjarnan	B. Ingason	subst	Out: A. Bjarnason
61'	Keflavik	B. Gudlaugsson	subst	Out: F. Elvarsson
50'	Stjarnan	B. Hauksson	Goal	Normal Goal
34'	Keflavik	A. Conteh	Card	Yellow Card
34'	Keflavik	A. Conteh	Card	Red Card
7'	Keflavik	A. Conteh	Card	Yellow Card
7'	Stjarnan	B. Waren	Card	Yellow Card
7'	Keflavik	S. Magnusson	Card	Yellow Card

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Vikingur Reykjavik Play-offs	1	18	45	14	3	1	58	16	42	DDWLW
KR Reykjavik Play-offs	2	18	39	12	3	3	64	39	25	WDWWD
Fram Reykjavik Play-offs	3	18	37	11	4	3	45	34	11	LWDWW
Breidablik Play-offs	4	18	29	8	5	5	36	30	6	LLWDW
Keflavik Play-offs	5	19	25	7	4	8	30	34	-4	WLWLW
Valur Reykjavik Play-offs	6	18	22	7	1	10	31	36	-5	WLLLL
IA Akranes Relegation Playoffs	7	18	22	6	4	8	30	36	-6	WDWLL
Stjarnan Relegation Playoffs	8	18	21	6	3	9	33	43	-10	WWLLD
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Relegation Playoffs	9	18	17	4	5	9	29	38	-9	DLLDL
FH hafnarfjordur Relegation Playoffs	10	18	17	3	8	7	22	32	-10	WDDDW
KA Akureyri Relegation Playoffs	11	18	15	4	3	11	24	36	-12	LLDDW
Thor Akureyri Relegation Playoffs	12	19	15	4	3	12	18	46	-28	LLWDW