Breidablik 1-3 Valur Reykjavik: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Breidablik 1-3 Valur Reykjavik: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Úrvalsdeild 🌍 Iceland

Sun, Aug 9 2026 · 20:15

Breidablik

1 - 3

Valur Reykjavik

🏆 Úrvalsdeild

🌍 Iceland

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.16

League avg: 2.10

Both

3.71

League avg: 3.70

Away

1.55

League avg: 1.60

1X2 Probability

Home

46%

ELO-based: 47%

Draw

26%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

28%

ELO-based: 29%

Goal Probability

2.5+

64%

3.5+

40%

BTTS

60%

Best Score Tips

2 - 19%

1 - 18%

2 - 27%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Valur Reykjavik
		0	1	2	3	4
Breidablik	0	2.5%	3.8%	2.9%	1.5%	0.6%
	1	5.3%	8.2%	6.4%	3.3%	1.3%
	2	5.7%	8.9%	6.9%	3.5%	1.4%
	3	4.1%	6.4%	4.9%	2.6%	1.0%
	4	2.2%	3.4%	2.7%	1.4%	0.5%

ELO Overview

Home

1594-20

League

1558±0

Away

1510-28

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Breidablik	1594	1582	1549	1699	1524	-20
Valur Reykjavik	1510	1494	1487	1635	1407	-28

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Breidablik	4	17	29	8	5	4	35	27	WWDWL
Valur Reykjavik	6	17	19	6	1	10	28	35	WLLLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Breidablik	5	67%	45%	73%	1.0	0.6
Valur Reykjavik	5	20%	73%	0%	1.6	2.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Breidablik	2.6	1.6	2.1	1.5	1.7	1.6
Valur Reykjavik	1.8	1.5	1.6	2.3	1.8	2.1

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Breidablik	2.1	2.6	1.6	1.5
Valur Reykjavik	1.6	1.5	2.1	1.8

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	13.89%	23.08%	15.38%	13.51%
16-30	13.89%	26.92%	15.38%	16.22%
31-45	11.11%	7.69%	19.23%	21.62%
46-60	25.00%	15.38%	7.69%	8.11%
61-75	11.11%	3.85%	30.77%	13.51%
76-90	25.00%	23.08%	11.54%	27.03%

Team Comparison

77%

Form

23%

38%

Attack

62%

79%

Defense

21%

62%

Poisson

38%

H2H

62%

47%

Goals

53%

57%

Total

43%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Breidablik	4-0	1-2	1-4	4-3	6 / 4	4 / 4
Valur Reykjavik	3-0	2-4	1-5	3-1	3 / 4	5 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Breidablik	5	3	2	3	0	3
Valur Reykjavik	2	1	1	3	0	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Breidablik	3	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Valur Reykjavik	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-17	Valur Reykjavik	3 - 2 FT	Breidablik
2025-09-22	Valur Reykjavik	1 - 1 FT	Breidablik
2025-08-10	Valur Reykjavik	2 - 1 FT	Breidablik
2025-05-19	Breidablik	2 - 1 FT	Valur Reykjavik
2024-10-06	Breidablik	2 - 2 FT	Valur Reykjavik
2024-08-15	Valur Reykjavik	0 - 2 FT	Breidablik

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.60	William Hill
Draw	4.71	Pinnacle
Away win	4.70	Marathonbet
Over 2.5	1.30	Betano
Under 2.5	3.80	Betfair
BTTS Yes	1.37	Betano
BTTS No	3.30	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
89'	Valur Reykjavik	J. Jonsson	Goal	Assist: T. Haraldsson
85'	Breidablik	G. Hallsson	subst	Out: A. Gunnleifsson
85'	Breidablik	D. Ingvarsson	subst	Out: K. Jonsson
85'	Valur Reykjavik	L. Heimisson	subst	Out: J. Palsson
81'	Breidablik	A. Thorsteinsson	Card	Yellow Card
78'	Valur Reykjavik	T. Haraldsson	Goal	Assist: H. Gunnarsson
73'	Breidablik	H. Gunnlaugsson	subst	Out: K. Steindorsson
72'	Valur Reykjavik	S. Fridjonsson	Card	Yellow Card
72'	Valur Reykjavik	H. Gunnarsson	Card	Yellow Card
71'	Breidablik	G. Hallsson	Card	Yellow Card
68'	Valur Reykjavik	B. Heimisson	subst	Out: H. Gunnarsson
68'	Valur Reykjavik	D. Gardarson	subst	Out: K. Arnarsson
60'	Breidablik	K. Kristinsson	subst	Out: T. Ulfarsson
60'	Valur Reykjavik	P. Pedersen	subst	Out: I. Stole
60'	Breidablik	D. Fjeldsted	subst	Out: J. Arnarsson
56'	Valur Reykjavik	T. Haraldsson	Card	Yellow Card
54'	Breidablik	D. Ingvarsson	Goal	Assist: K. Kristinsson
39'	Valur Reykjavik	D. Gardarson	Goal	Assist: J. Jonsson

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Vikingur Reykjavik Play-offs	1	18	45	14	3	1	58	16	42	DDWLW
KR Reykjavik Play-offs	2	18	39	12	3	3	64	39	25	WDWWD
Fram Reykjavik Play-offs	3	18	37	11	4	3	45	34	11	LWDWW
Breidablik Play-offs	4	18	29	8	5	5	36	30	6	LLWDW
Keflavik Play-offs	5	19	25	7	4	8	30	34	-4	WLWLW
Valur Reykjavik Play-offs	6	18	22	7	1	10	31	36	-5	WLLLL
IA Akranes Relegation Playoffs	7	18	22	6	4	8	30	36	-6	WDWLL
Stjarnan Relegation Playoffs	8	18	21	6	3	9	33	43	-10	WWLLD
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Relegation Playoffs	9	18	17	4	5	9	29	38	-9	DLLDL
FH hafnarfjordur Relegation Playoffs	10	18	17	3	8	7	22	32	-10	WDDDW
KA Akureyri Relegation Playoffs	11	18	15	4	3	11	24	36	-12	LLDDW
Thor Akureyri Relegation Playoffs	12	19	15	4	3	12	18	46	-28	LLWDW